Mariano Navone vs Roberto Carballes BaenaRio de Janeiro Round of 32

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Round of 32
#48ATP
1822ELO
1800Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
clay
#165ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Navone M.
6-4 6-3
Carballes Baena R.
Navone M.
662
Carballes Baena R.
430

Mariano Navone defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-3 in the Rio de Janeiro round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #48, defending last year's final. Mariano Navone claimed a first win over Roberto Carballes Baena in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-05CordobaR32clayRoberto Carballes Baena3-6 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Navone M.Carballes Baena R.
0
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
93
Break points won·Dominant
90
58
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
60
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+188 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1612
6.9Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1632
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.3
Surface form
7.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
6.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
92

Navone M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
39°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 22%