Mirra Andreeva vs Iga SwiatekDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · WTA · Quarter-final
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Andreeva M.
6-3 6-3
Swiatek I.
Andreeva M.
662
Swiatek I.
330

Mirra Andreeva defeated Iga Swiatek 6-3 6-3 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, defending last year's semi-final. Mirra Andreeva extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartQFclayMirra Andreeva3-6 6-4 6-3
2025-03-05Indian WellsSFhardMirra Andreeva7-6(1) 1-6 6-3
2024-08-12CincinnatiQFhardIga Swiatek4-6 6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Andreeva M.Swiatek I.
46
Serve
67
96
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
100
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
94
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1994
Surface ELO
5.5+28 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 2064
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.0
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
89

Andreeva M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw