Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca NardiDoha Round of 16

Doha · ATP · Round of 16
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Alcaraz C.
6-1 4-6 6-3
Nardi L.
Alcaraz C.
6462
Nardi L.
1631

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Luca Nardi 6-1 4-6 6-3 in the Doha round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Nardi L.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Nardi L.
74
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
32
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
92
Break points won·Dominant
99
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+516 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1572
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1585
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.2
Surface form
5.6
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.6
Minutes 14d
8.5
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Nardi L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 77%