Carlos Alcaraz vs Marin CilicDoha Round of 32

Doha · ATP · Round of 32
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-4
Cilic M.
Alcaraz C.
662
Cilic M.
440

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Marin Cilic 6-4 6-4 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 3-6 6-4 4-6 6-3
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(4) 6-1
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2021-04-26EstorilR32clayMarin Cilic6-3 1-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Cilic M.
74
Serve
57
95
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
9.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
76
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
2.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 105 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+327 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1762
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1800
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.2
Surface form
4.2
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.6
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Cilic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 77%