Lorenzo Sonego vs Botic Van De ZandschulpMarseille Round of 32

Marseille · ATP · Round of 32
#69ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
Sonego L.
6-1 3-6 6-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Sonego L.
6362
Van De Zandschulp B.
1631

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-1 3-6 6-3 in the Marseille round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Botic Van De Zandschulp came in ranked #54. Lorenzo Sonego extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Sonego closed it out in three sets, 6–1 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersQ1hardLorenzo Sonego6-3 5-7 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sonego L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sonego L.Van De Zandschulp B.
41
Serve
41
38
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
58%
Aces / match·Even
6.2
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
69
77
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
45
68
Deciding sets·Slight edge
71
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1702
Surface ELO
5.0+9 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1743
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.8
Surface form
3.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.4
Country comfort
5.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
89

Sonego L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 78%