Daniil Medvedev vs Jan Lennard StruffMarseille Quarter-final

Marseille · ATP · Quarter-final
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
#41ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Medvedev D.
6-3 6-2
Struff J.
Medvedev D.
662
Struff J.
320

Daniil Medvedev defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-3 6-2 in the Marseille quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 7–2. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 8–2.

Key context

Head to head

72
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-03WimbledonR32grassJan Lennard Struff7.7-6.4 7.7-6.5 7-5
2025-02-24DubaiR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 7-6(4)
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassDaniil Medvedev6-1 6-3 4-6 7-6(3)
2021-12-04Davis Cup Finals SF: RTF vs GERRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-1 4-6 7-6(3)
2021-06-14HalleR32grassJan Lennard Struff7-6(6) 6-3
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-1
2017-02-20MarseilleR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 3-6 7-6(3)
2016-07-11HamburgR32clayDaniil Medvedev6-4 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Struff J.
47
Serve
36
94
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Even
8.0
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
61
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+328 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1634
8.8Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
8.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.6
Country comfort
5.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
64

Medvedev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Struff J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 78%