Varvara Lepchenko vs Maria Mateas — Cancun 125 Round of 32

Cancun 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Varvara Lepchenko
USA
Varvara Lepchenko
#172WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
USA
Maria Mateas
1330ELO
1307Hard ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLLW
Lepchenko V.
6-3 4-6 6-3
Mateas M.
Lepchenko V.
6462
Mateas M.
3631

Varvara Lepchenko defeated Maria Mateas 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the Cancun 125 round of 32 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Lepchenko V.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Mateas M.

Mateas M.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Lepchenko V.Mateas M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lepchenko V.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Mateas M.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+251 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1307
8.3Overall Elo 1578
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1330
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Lepchenko V.Mateas M.
Freshness·
44
—

Lepchenko V.: 1 day rest · 6 matches, 149 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Arango E.
Branstine C.
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Arango E.
Jones F.
3-66-17-5
Branstine C.
Joint M.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Jones F.
Shymanovich I.
6-16-0
Arango E.
Janicijevic S.
6-17-5
Joint M.
Sierra S.
7-56-736-1
Branstine C.
Kawa K.
6-06-3
R16
Shymanovich I.
Preston T.
6-41-67-5
Arango E.
Stakusic M.
6-47-60
Sierra S.
Koevermans A.
7-56-3
Joint M.
Sieg M.
6-06-3
Branstine C.
Davis L.
7-646-2
Kawa K.
Chirico L.
6-26-1
Jones F.
Vickery S.
6-36-3
Janicijevic S.
Lepchenko V.
7-667-63
R32
Stakusic M.
Zhao C.
6-36-4
Arango E.
Osuigwe W.
6-46-4
Janicijevic S.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-36-4
Lepchenko V.
Mateas M.
6-34-66-3
Sierra S.
Tig P.
6-06-3
Koevermans A.
Riera J.
1-67-637-5
Sieg M.
Hinojosa Gomez J.
6-06-4
Joint M.
Chang H.
6-747-56-4
Branstine C.
Shibahara E.
6-23-67-62
Kawa K.
Pigossi L.
4-67-56-1
Chirico L.
Carle M.
6-36-4
Shymanovich I.
Maria T.
6-26-2
Preston T.
Rodriguez V.
6-24-66-4
Vickery S.
Jovic I.
6-37-5
Jones F.
Bolsova A.
7-56-4
Davis L.
Vedder E.
1-66-16-2