Otto Virtanen vs Sebastian Korda — Marseille Round of 32

Marseille · ATP · Round of 32
Otto Virtanen
FIN
Otto Virtanen
#126ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
Sebastian Korda
USA5
Sebastian Korda
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Virtanen O.
6-7 7-6 6-4
Korda S.
Virtanen O.
637762
Korda S.
776441

Otto Virtanen defeated Sebastian Korda 6-7 7-6 6-4 in the Marseille round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Virtanen O.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Virtanen O.Korda S.
—
Serve
61
—
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Virtanen O.Korda S.
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.4
9.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Virtanen O.Korda S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
87
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Dominant
3
73
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Virtanen O.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Korda S.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1674
Surface ELO
7.5+91 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1809
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.6
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Virtanen O.Korda S.
Freshness·
80
—

Virtanen O.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 78%
Final
Humbert U.[2]
Medjedovic H.
7-646-4
Semi-finals
Humbert U.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-4
Medjedovic H.
Medvedev D.[1]
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Bergs Z.
Zhang Z.
7-50-0
Medvedev D.[1]
Struff J.
6-36-2
Humbert U.[2]
Sonego L.[7]
6-46-4
Medjedovic H.
Altmaier D.
7-56-776-4
R16
Sonego L.[7]
Van Assche L.
W/O
Zhang Z.
Hurkacz H.[4]
6-46-716-3
Medjedovic H.
Khachanov K.[3]
6-26-3
Humbert U.[2]
Bublik A.
7-676-4
Struff J.
Grenier H.
6-45-76-4
Bergs Z.
Borges N.[8]
6-26-756-2
Medvedev D.[1]
Herbert P.
6-26-4
Altmaier D.
Virtanen O.
6-46-3
R32
Zhang Z.
Halys Q.
6-36-727-63
Medjedovic H.
Collignon R.
6-36-4
Bergs Z.
Chidekh C.
6-46-4
Van Assche L.
Bonzi B.
3-66-37-67
Virtanen O.
Korda S.[5]
6-737-646-4
Struff J.
Guinard M.
7-57-64
Herbert P.
Mayot H.
2-67-56-3
Borges N.[8]
Wawrinka S.
6-747-616-3
Bublik A.
Gasquet R.
6-46-4
Sonego L.[7]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-13-66-3
Grenier H.
Gea A.
7-56-4
Altmaier D.
Nardi L.
6-26-2