Federico Coria vs Hugo Gaston — Buenos Aires Round of 32

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 32
Federico Coria
ARG
Federico Coria
#889ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
clay
Hugo Gaston
FRA
Hugo Gaston
#118ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLL
Coria F.
6-3 6-2
Gaston H.
Coria F.
662
Gaston H.
320

Federico Coria defeated Hugo Gaston 6-3 6-2 in the Buenos Aires round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Hugo Gaston came in ranked #118.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Gaston H.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Coria F.Gaston H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Coria F.Gaston H.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
91
Break points won·Clear edge
72
57
Deciding sets·Even
78
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Coria F.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Gaston H.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
8.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
6.7
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Coria F.Gaston H.
Freshness·Clear edge
78
64

Coria F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 51%
Final
Fonseca J.
Cerundolo F.[5]
6-47-61
Semi-finals
Cerundolo F.[5]
Martinez P.
6-26-4
Fonseca J.
Djere L.
7-635-76-1
Quarter-finals
Martinez P.
Musetti L.
W/O
Djere L.
Seyboth Wild T.
7-636-3
Cerundolo F.[5]
Zverev A.[1]
3-66-36-2
Fonseca J.
Navone M.
3-66-47-5
R16
Seyboth Wild T.
Baez S.[6]
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Coria F.
2-66-46-2
Musetti L.[3]
Moutet C.
6-26-3
Zverev A.[1]
Lajovic D.
6-46-4
Martinez P.
Schwartzman D.
6-26-2
Cerundolo F.[5]
Cerundolo J.
6-26-3
Navone M.
Rune H.[2]
6-17-62
Djere L.
Tabilo A.[4]
2-66-17-62
R32
Fonseca J.
Etcheverry T.[8]
6-36-3
Cerundolo F.[5]
Darderi L.
6-46-4
Moutet C.
Nagal S.
7-56-2
Baez S.[6]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-4
Djere L.
Muller A.
6-36-3
Lajovic D.
Carballes Baena R.
7-687-5
Coria F.
Gaston H.
6-36-2
Schwartzman D.
Jarry N.[7]
7-6104-66-3
Cerundolo J.
Burruchaga R.
7-645-77-5
Seyboth Wild T.
Diaz Acosta F.
3-66-26-3
Navone M.
Comesana F.
6-46-4
Martinez P.
Dzumhur D.
0-66-27-63