Maya Joint vs Hanna Chang — Cancun 125 Round of 32

Cancun 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Maya Joint
AUS
Maya Joint
#77WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
USA
Hanna Chang
#325WTA
1354ELO
1314Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Joint M.
6-7 7-5 6-4
Chang H.
Joint M.
64762
Chang H.
77541

Maya Joint defeated Hanna Chang 6-7 7-5 6-4 in the Cancun 125 round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Maya Joint came in ranked #77.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Joint M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Chang H.

Chang H.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Joint M.Chang H.
17
Serve
—
45
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Joint M.Chang H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Joint M.Chang H.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
0
Break points saved·Dominant
76
15
Break points won·Dominant
99
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
77
13
Tiebreaks·
—
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Joint M.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Chang H.
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
9.8+343 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.2Hard Elo 1314
10.0Overall Elo 1659
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1354
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Joint M.Chang H.
Freshness·
94
—

Joint M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Arango E.
Branstine C.
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Arango E.
Jones F.
3-66-17-5
Branstine C.
Joint M.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Jones F.
Shymanovich I.
6-16-0
Arango E.
Janicijevic S.
6-17-5
Joint M.
Sierra S.
7-56-736-1
Branstine C.
Kawa K.
6-06-3
R16
Shymanovich I.
Preston T.
6-41-67-5
Arango E.
Stakusic M.
6-47-60
Sierra S.
Koevermans A.
7-56-3
Joint M.
Sieg M.
6-06-3
Branstine C.
Davis L.
7-646-2
Kawa K.
Chirico L.
6-26-1
Jones F.
Vickery S.
6-36-3
Janicijevic S.
Lepchenko V.
7-667-63
R32
Stakusic M.
Zhao C.
6-36-4
Arango E.
Osuigwe W.
6-46-4
Janicijevic S.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-36-4
Lepchenko V.
Mateas M.
6-34-66-3
Sierra S.
Tig P.
6-06-3
Koevermans A.
Riera J.
1-67-637-5
Sieg M.
Hinojosa Gomez J.
6-06-4
Joint M.
Chang H.
6-747-56-4
Branstine C.
Shibahara E.
6-23-67-62
Kawa K.
Pigossi L.
4-67-56-1
Chirico L.
Carle M.
6-36-4
Shymanovich I.
Maria T.
6-26-2
Preston T.
Rodriguez V.
6-24-66-4
Vickery S.
Jovic I.
6-37-5
Jones F.
Bolsova A.
7-56-4
Davis L.
Vedder E.
1-66-16-2