Joao Fonseca vs Francisco CerundoloBuenos Aires Final

Buenos Aires · ATP · Final
#27ATP
1928ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
clay
#21ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Fonseca J.
6-4 7-6
Cerundolo F.
Fonseca J.
6772
Cerundolo F.
4610

Joao Fonseca defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 7-6 in the Buenos Aires final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #21, defending last year's round of 16, but Joao Fonseca had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Fonseca J.Cerundolo F.
65
Serve
23
28
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
88
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Dominant
43
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
94
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1856
Surface ELO
5.5+12 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
7.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
8.1
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
96

Fonseca J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 51%