Louisa Chirico vs Maria Lourdes Carle — Cancun 125 Round of 32

Cancun 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Louisa Chirico
USA
Louisa Chirico
#382WTA
1476ELO
1411Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#218WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Chirico L.
6-3 6-4
Carle M.
Chirico L.
662
Carle M.
34–

Louisa Chirico defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 6-3 6-4 in the Cancun 125 round of 32 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Chirico L.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Carle M.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Chirico L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Chirico L.Carle M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
40%
Service points won·Even
53%
52%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
0.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.6
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Chirico L.Carle M.
Clutch Rating·Even
28
27
Break points saved·Clear edge
46
26
Break points won·Clear edge
74
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
55
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Chirico L.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Carle M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1411
Surface ELO
5.7+48 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1476
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Chirico L.Carle M.
Freshness·
—
88

Carle M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Arango E.
Branstine C.
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Arango E.
Jones F.
3-66-17-5
Branstine C.
Joint M.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Jones F.
Shymanovich I.
6-16-0
Arango E.
Janicijevic S.
6-17-5
Joint M.
Sierra S.
7-56-736-1
Branstine C.
Kawa K.
6-06-3
R16
Shymanovich I.
Preston T.
6-41-67-5
Arango E.
Stakusic M.
6-47-60
Sierra S.
Koevermans A.
7-56-3
Joint M.
Sieg M.
6-06-3
Branstine C.
Davis L.
7-646-2
Kawa K.
Chirico L.
6-26-1
Jones F.
Vickery S.
6-36-3
Janicijevic S.
Lepchenko V.
7-667-63
R32
Stakusic M.
Zhao C.
6-36-4
Arango E.
Osuigwe W.
6-46-4
Janicijevic S.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-36-4
Lepchenko V.
Mateas M.
6-34-66-3
Sierra S.
Tig P.
6-06-3
Koevermans A.
Riera J.
1-67-637-5
Sieg M.
Hinojosa Gomez J.
6-06-4
Joint M.
Chang H.
6-747-56-4
Branstine C.
Shibahara E.
6-23-67-62
Kawa K.
Pigossi L.
4-67-56-1
Chirico L.
Carle M.
6-36-4
Shymanovich I.
Maria T.
6-26-2
Preston T.
Rodriguez V.
6-24-66-4
Vickery S.
Jovic I.
6-37-5
Jones F.
Bolsova A.
7-56-4
Davis L.
Vedder E.
1-66-16-2