Jakub Paul vs Ignacio BuseTenerife 2 CH Round of 32

Tenerife 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#527ATP
1389ELO
1340Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
#34ATP
1822ELO
1662Hard ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Paul J.
6-3 6-1
Buse I.
Paul J.
662
Buse I.
310

Jakub Paul defeated Ignacio Buse 6-3 6-1 in the Tenerife 2 CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paul J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (65 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
21
63
Break points saved·Dominant
62
87
Break points won·Slight edge
20
28
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1340
Surface ELO
8.4+322 Hard Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1389
ELO gap
9.2Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
3.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.1
Minutes 14d
8.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Buse I.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast