Ugo Humbert vs Alexander BublikMarseille Round of 16

Marseille · ATP · Round of 16
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Humbert U.
7-6 6-4
Bublik A.
Humbert U.
7962
Bublik A.
6740

Ugo Humbert defeated Alexander Bublik 7-6 6-4 in the Marseille round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ugo Humbert came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title. Ugo Humbert extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26DubaiFhardUgo Humbert6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Bublik A.
64
Serve
65
15
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
10.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
37
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8+7 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Hard Elo 1837
4.1Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1889
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.1
Surface form
2.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.1
Country comfort
5.5
Context
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
70

Humbert U.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 78%