Carson Branstine vs Maya Joint — Cancun 125 Semi-final

Cancun 125 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final

USA

Carson Branstine

#535WTA

1594ELO

1512Hard ELO

25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLLWWWLW

0 — 0

Sets

Monday, 10 February 2025

hard

AUS

Maya Joint

#77WTA

1659ELO

1657Hard ELO

$391kYTD

$1.7MCAREER

20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLLWLWLL

Branstine C.

6-2 6-3

Joint M.

Branstine C.

662

Joint M.

23–

Carson Branstine defeated Maya Joint 6-2 6-3 in the Cancun 125 semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maya Joint came in ranked #77.

Key context

Match story: Carson Branstine dropped just 5 games past Maya Joint.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Branstine C.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Joint M.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Branstine C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Branstine C.Joint M.

—

Serve

—

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Branstine C.Joint M.

1st serve in·Even

60%

64%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

66%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

Service points won·Even

58%

56%

Return points won·Even

44%

47%

Break points saved·Even

55%

52%

Aces / match·Clear edge

3.6

1.4

Double faults / match·Even

3.4

3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Branstine C.

3.5

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Recent retirement (−1.5)

Joint M.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Recent retirement (−1.5)

Form & Matchup

2.5Hard Elo 1512

Surface ELO

7.5+145 Hard Elo edge

2.8Overall Elo 1594

ELO gap

7.2Overall Elo 1659

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0

3.2

Surface form

6.0

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.0

Context

5.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.