Aoi Ito vs Varvara Gracheva — Doha Qualifying Round 2

Doha · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
JPN
Aoi Ito
#246WTA
1549ELO
1568Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 9 February 2025
hard
Varvara Gracheva
FRA
Varvara Gracheva
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Ito A.
6-2 6-4
Gracheva V.
Ito A.
662
Gracheva V.
24–

Aoi Ito defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-2 6-4 in the Doha qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #95.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ito A.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ito A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ito A.Gracheva V.
—
Serve
3
—
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ito A.Gracheva V.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ito A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Gracheva V.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1568
Surface ELO
6.9+195 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1549
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1810
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
3.7
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ito A.Gracheva V.
Freshness·
87
—

Ito A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Kudermetova V.
Andreeva E.
6-16-786-3
Bucsa C.
Siegemund L.
6-27-62
Parks A.
Kudermetova P.
6-36-2
Uchijima M.
Kartal S.
6-46-3
Minnen G.
Zarazua R.
6-13-66-1
Volynets K.
Masarova R.
6-16-766-1
Ruse E.
Saville D.
6-36-4
Ito A.
Gracheva V.
6-26-4
Q1
Ruse E.
Townsend T.
6-36-746-2
Kudermetova V.
Errani S.
6-46-1
Andreeva E.
Hibino N.
6-16-0
Bucsa C.
Eikeri U.
6-16-0
Siegemund L.
Starodubtseva Y.
2-66-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Zheng S.
6-16-3
Parks A.
Bonaventure Y.
6-16-0
Uchijima M.
Zakharova A.
6-32-66-3
Kartal S.
Paquet C.
6-17-5
Zarazua R.
Semenistaja D.
6-22-1
Minnen G.
Niemeier J.
6-36-1
Volynets K.
Oz I.
6-26-1
Masarova R.
Baptiste H.
7-50-0
Saville D.
Rakhimova K.
6-16-3
Gracheva V.
Schmiedlova A.
6-46-1
Ito A.
Bondar A.
4-66-36-3