Andrey Rublev vs Zhizhen ZhangRotterdam Round of 32

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#161ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Rublev A.
6-3 6-4
Zhang Z.
Rublev A.
662
Zhang Z.
340

Andrey Rublev defeated Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-4 in the Rotterdam round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-3
2024-02-26DubaiR32hardAndrey Rublev6-7(4) 6-2 6-4
2022-10-03AstanaR16hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Zhang Z.

Zhang Z.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Zhang Z.
55
Serve
24
52
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
33%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Even
7.5
8.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
94
Break points won·Dominant
72
14
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+207 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1642
7.3Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1682
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.4
Surface form
2.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
6.1
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
100

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zhang Z.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
2°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 90%