Reilly Opelka vs Alexander ShevchenkoDallas Round of 32

Dallas · ATP · Round of 32
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
1669ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLW
Opelka R.
7-6 6-4
Shevchenko A.
Opelka R.
7762
Shevchenko A.
6340

Reilly Opelka defeated Alexander Shevchenko 7-6 6-4 in the Dallas round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Reilly Opelka came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Reilly Opelka extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassReilly Opelka6-3 7-5 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Shevchenko A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Shevchenko A.
86
Serve
27
0
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.9
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
92
Break points won·Dominant
1
60
Deciding sets·Even
88
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+91 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1642
6.0Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1669
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
4.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Shevchenko A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast