Reilly Opelka vs Cameron Norrie — Dallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
Cameron Norrie
GBR
Cameron Norrie
#38ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Opelka R.
4-6 7-6 6-4
Norrie C.
Opelka R.
47762
Norrie C.
66541

Reilly Opelka defeated Cameron Norrie 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #38, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Reilly Opelka narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-14Delray BeachFhardCameron Norrie7-6(1) 7-6(4)
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCameron Norrie6-3 6-4
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersR64hardReilly Opelka6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Norrie C.
86
Serve
45
0
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.Norrie C.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.9
5.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.Norrie C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
89
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Opelka R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Norrie C.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1734
Surface ELO
5.9+55 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1829
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.2
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.Norrie C.
Freshness·
—
95

Norrie C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Shapovalov D.
Ruud C.[2]
7-656-3
Semi-finals
Ruud C.[2]
Munar J.
6-22-67-64
Shapovalov D.
Paul T.[3]
7-56-3
Quarter-finals
Ruud C.[2]
Nishioka Y.
7-53-2
Shapovalov D.
Machac T.[6]
7-656-0
Paul T.[3]
Opelka R.
7-636-2
Munar J.
Arnaldi M.[8]
6-43-66-3
R16
Shapovalov D.
Fritz T.[1]
2-66-37-62
Ruud C.[2]
Mmoh M.
6-16-4
Machac T.[6]
Hijikata R.
6-47-60
Paul T.[3]
Quinn E.
6-45-76-4
Opelka R.
Norrie C.
4-67-656-4
Arnaldi M.[8]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-3
Munar J.
Shelton B.[4]
6-27-63
Nishioka Y.
Tiafoe F.[5]
3-66-46-3
R32
Fritz T.[1]
Rinderknech A.
6-46-2
Opelka R.
Shevchenko A.
7-636-4
Shapovalov D.
Kecmanovic M.
6-36-756-3
Machac T.[6]
Nishikori K.
6-26-2
Paul T.[3]
Brooksby J.
6-766-36-4
Nishioka Y.
Nakashima B.
6-47-66
Ruud C.[2]
Duckworth J.
7-54-66-2
Hijikata R.
Mannarino A.
7-56-3
Tiafoe F.[5]
Daniel T.
6-13-66-4
Mmoh M.
Carballes Baena R.
6-13-66-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Holt B.
6-17-5
Shelton B.[4]
Vukic A.
6-36-3
Quinn E.
Svajda T.
6-46-2
Munar J.
Yunchaokete B.
7-56-2
Arnaldi M.[8]
Eubanks C.
6-36-4
Norrie C.
Michelsen A.[7]
2-67-616-1