Denis Shapovalov vs Tomas MachacDallas Quarter-final

Dallas · ATP · Quarter-final
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Shapovalov D.
7-6 6-0
Machac T.
Shapovalov D.
7762
Machac T.
6500

Denis Shapovalov defeated Tomas Machac 7-6 6-0 in the Dallas quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Machac T.
25
Serve
30
70
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.7
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
90
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
71
80
Deciding sets·Even
92
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
5.4+54 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1866
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
6.4
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast