Jason Kubler vs Tristan SchoolkateBrisbane 2 CH Round of 32

Brisbane 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#468ATP
1685ELO
1635Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#148ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$246kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
Kubler J.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Schoolkate T.
Kubler J.
6362
Schoolkate T.
4631

Jason Kubler defeated Tristan Schoolkate 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Brisbane 2 CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tristan Schoolkate came in ranked #148.

Key context

  • Match story: Jason Kubler closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kubler J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Schoolkate T.

Schoolkate T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kubler J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kubler J.Schoolkate T.
Serve
38
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
9.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
46
Break points saved·Even
90
90
Break points won·Dominant
46
0
Deciding sets·Slight edge
79
85
Tiebreaks·Even
37
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+121 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1514
6.6Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
7.8
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
4.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

Schoolkate T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast