Guido Ivan Justo vs Thiago Agustin TiranteRosario CH Round of 32

Rosario CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#226ATP
1443ELO
1433Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
clay
#61ATP
1741ELO
1715Clay ELO
$714kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWLLW
Justo G.
3-6 6-1 6-2
Tirante T.
Justo G.
3662
Tirante T.
6121

Guido Ivan Justo defeated Thiago Agustin Tirante 3-6 6-1 6-2 in the Rosario CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Thiago Agustin Tirante came in ranked #61, but Guido Ivan Justo had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 7 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Justo G.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Tirante T.

Tirante T.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Justo G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Justo G.Tirante T.
Serve
66
Return
26

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
12
44
Break points saved·Dominant
23
85
Break points won·Clear edge
42
29
Deciding sets·Clear edge
20
44
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
50
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 119 days (−1.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Clay Elo 1433
Surface ELO
8.0+282 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1443
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1741
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
68
100

Justo G.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Tirante T.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast