Xinyu Gao vs Justina Mikulskyte — W75 Leszno Quarter-final

W75 Leszno · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
CHN
Xinyu Gao
#239WTA
1504ELO
1492Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
LTU
Justina Mikulskyte
#242WTA
1357ELO
1315Hard ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Gao X.
7-5 6-3
Mikulskyte J.
Gao X.
762
Mikulskyte J.
53–

Xinyu Gao defeated Justina Mikulskyte 7-5 6-3 in the W75 Leszno quarter-final on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Xinyu Gao closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gao X.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Mikulskyte J.

Mikulskyte J.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Gao X.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Gao X.Mikulskyte J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gao X.Mikulskyte J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
31
20
Break points saved·Clear edge
43
25
Break points won·Slight edge
88
81
Deciding sets·Even
33
35
Tiebreaks·
—
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gao X.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Mikulskyte J.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+177 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1315
7.7Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1357
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gao X.Mikulskyte J.
Freshness·
—
100

Mikulskyte J.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Jacquemot E.
Gao X.
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Jacquemot E.
Erjavec V.
6-47-5
Gao X.
Hesse A.
6-26-2
Quarter-finals
Jacquemot E.
Radwanska U.
6-16-2
Gao X.
Mikulskyte J.
7-56-3
Hesse A.
Naef C.
W/O
R16
Radwanska U.
Koevermans A.
6-47-5
Hesse A.
Serban R.
7-56-2
Mikulskyte J.
Falkowska W.
6-37-65
Gao X.
Jamrichova R.
6-16-2
Jacquemot E.
Kubka M.
6-36-1
Naef C.
Ewald W.
6-36-2
Kolodynska J.
Iatcenko P.
7-56-3
Erjavec V.
Juvan K.
6-46-4
R32
Falkowska W.
Avdeeva J.
6-36-4
Kubka M.
Stankiewicz M.
4-67-57-62
Ewald W.
Hertel A.
6-26-3
Hesse A.
Laskevich E.
7-53-66-3
Jacquemot E.
Aksu A.
4-66-26-4
Iatcenko P.
Zidansek T.
6-37-5
Juvan K.
Ngounoue C.
6-32-66-2
Radwanska U.
Ciric Bagaric L.
0-67-56-1
Erjavec V.
Kmiecik A.
6-16-3
Kolodynska J.
Oz I.
4-66-36-4
Gao X.
Kolb N.
6-43-66-2
Jamrichova R.
Gabric A.
2-66-36-3
Naef C.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-56-4
Koevermans A.
Hatouka Y.
6-26-4
Mikulskyte J.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-46-4