Denis Shapovalov vs Taylor FritzDallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Shapovalov D.
2-6 6-3 7-6
Fritz T.
Shapovalov D.
26772
Fritz T.
63621

Denis Shapovalov defeated Taylor Fritz 2-6 6-3 7-6 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 6–5.

Key context

Head to head

55
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz7-5 6-3
2023-03-20Miami MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz6-4 6-4
2023-02-27AcapulcoR16hardTaylor Fritz6-4 6-4
2022-10-24ViennaR16hardDenis Shapovalov6-1 4-6 6-3
2022-10-03TokyoSFhardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-7(5) 6-3
2021-09-27San DiegoR16hardDenis Shapovalov7-6(7) 6-2
2021-03-08DohaQFhardTaylor Fritz5-7 6-3 7-5
2020-08-31US OpenR32hardDenis Shapovalov3-6 6-3 4-6 7-6(5) 6-2
2019-11-19Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs CANRRhardDenis Shapovalov7-6(6) 6-3
2018-02-19Delray BeachQFhardDenis Shapovalov7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Fritz T.
25
Serve
76
70
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
12.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
85
87
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
71
60
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
6.6+63 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1909
2.3
H2H
7.7
5.5
Surface form
7.3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
67

Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fritz T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast