Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Guido Ivan JustoRosario CH Round of 16

Rosario CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
clay
#226ATP
1443ELO
1433Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWW
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-5 2-6 7-5
Justo G.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7272
Justo G.
5651

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Guido Ivan Justo 7-5 2-6 7-5 in the Rosario CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Justo G.

Justo G.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Justo G.
24
Serve
28
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
12
Break points saved·Dominant
90
23
Break points won·Clear edge
62
42
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
20
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 119 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.9+308 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Clay Elo 1433
8.9Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1443
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
68

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Justo G.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast