Pablo Carreno Busta vs Vilius GaubasTenerife 1 CH Quarter-final

Tenerife 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#129ATP
1581ELO
1560Hard ELO
$275kYTD
$759kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Carreno Busta P.
4-6 6-3 7-6
Gaubas V.
Carreno Busta P.
46772
Gaubas V.
63631

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Vilius Gaubas 4-6 6-3 7-6 in the Tenerife 1 CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Gaubas V.

Gaubas V.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Gaubas V.
21
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
57
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
87
Break points won·Slight edge
61
52
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+185 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1560
6.3Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1581
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
1.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
74

Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Gaubas V.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast