Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik — Rotterdam Round of 32

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 32
Jakub Mensik
CZE
Jakub Mensik
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Mensik J.
6-4 6-4
Bublik A.
Mensik J.
662
Bublik A.
440

Jakub Mensik defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-4 in the Rotterdam round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 16. Jakub Mensik extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jakub Mensik edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayJakub Mensik6-3 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonR128grassAlexander Bublik4-6 6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Mensik J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mensik J.Bublik A.
42
Serve
65
51
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mensik J.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
12.9
10.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mensik J.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Slight edge
77
67
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mensik J.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+56 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1837
5.1Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
2.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.5
2.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mensik J.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
70

Mensik J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
2°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 90%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[3]
6-43-66-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Hurkacz H.[8]
6-46-756-3
De Minaur A.[3]
Bellucci M.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Hurkacz H.[8]
Rublev A.[4]
6-756-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Martinez P.
6-26-1
Bellucci M.
Tsitsipas S.[6]
6-46-2
De Minaur A.[3]
Altmaier D.
6-16-4
R16
Hurkacz H.[8]
Lehecka J.
7-52-0
Rublev A.[4]
Marozsan F.
7-627-67
De Minaur A.[3]
Mensik J.
6-46-4
Bellucci M.
Medvedev D.[2]
6-36-766-3
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Griekspoor T.
6-757-667-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Vavassori A.
6-26-1
Altmaier D.
Fils A.[7]
6-43-67-5
Martinez P.
Rune H.[5]
6-46-1
R32
Vavassori A.
Auger Aliassime F.
6-736-40-0
Hurkacz H.[8]
Cobolli F.
6-36-2
Lehecka J.
Popyrin A.
7-56-2
Fils A.[7]
Lestienne C.
6-746-26-1
Altmaier D.
Kovacevic A.
1-66-46-3
Rune H.[5]
Sonego L.
7-646-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Wawrinka S.
6-786-46-1
Rublev A.[4]
Zhang Z.
6-36-4
Martinez P.
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Berrettini M.
6-36-727-64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-633-66-1
Bellucci M.
Rottgering M.
6-36-2
De Minaur A.[3]
Goffin D.
6-26-4
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Mayot H.
6-17-5
Mensik J.
Bublik A.
6-46-4
Marozsan F.
Struff J.
6-34-67-63