Alex De Minaur vs Mattia Bellucci — Rotterdam Semi-final

Rotterdam · ATP · Semi-final
Alex De Minaur
AUS3
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
Mattia Bellucci
ITA
Mattia Bellucci
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
De Minaur A.
6-1 6-2
Bellucci M.
De Minaur A.
662
Bellucci M.
120

Alex De Minaur defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-1 6-2 in the Rotterdam semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Bellucci M.
48
Serve
0
80
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Bellucci M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
5.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Bellucci M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
60
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
97
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Bellucci M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+258 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1678
8.8Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1720
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
3.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.9
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Bellucci M.
Freshness·Dominant
73
100

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Bellucci M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
2°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 90%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[3]
6-43-66-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Hurkacz H.[8]
6-46-756-3
De Minaur A.[3]
Bellucci M.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Hurkacz H.[8]
Rublev A.[4]
6-756-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Martinez P.
6-26-1
Bellucci M.
Tsitsipas S.[6]
6-46-2
De Minaur A.[3]
Altmaier D.
6-16-4
R16
Hurkacz H.[8]
Lehecka J.
7-52-0
Rublev A.[4]
Marozsan F.
7-627-67
De Minaur A.[3]
Mensik J.
6-46-4
Bellucci M.
Medvedev D.[2]
6-36-766-3
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Griekspoor T.
6-757-667-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Vavassori A.
6-26-1
Altmaier D.
Fils A.[7]
6-43-67-5
Martinez P.
Rune H.[5]
6-46-1
R32
Vavassori A.
Auger Aliassime F.
6-736-40-0
Hurkacz H.[8]
Cobolli F.
6-36-2
Lehecka J.
Popyrin A.
7-56-2
Fils A.[7]
Lestienne C.
6-746-26-1
Altmaier D.
Kovacevic A.
1-66-46-3
Rune H.[5]
Sonego L.
7-646-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Wawrinka S.
6-786-46-1
Rublev A.[4]
Zhang Z.
6-36-4
Martinez P.
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Berrettini M.
6-36-727-64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-633-66-1
Bellucci M.
Rottgering M.
6-36-2
De Minaur A.[3]
Goffin D.
6-26-4
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Mayot H.
6-17-5
Mensik J.
Bublik A.
6-46-4
Marozsan F.
Struff J.
6-34-67-63