Mattia Bellucci vs Daniil MedvedevRotterdam Round of 16

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 16
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Bellucci M.
6-3 6-7 6-3
Medvedev D.
Bellucci M.
66662
Medvedev D.
37831

Mattia Bellucci defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-7 6-3 in the Rotterdam round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9.

Key context

  • Match story: Mattia Bellucci closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Medvedev D.
0
Serve
47
40
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
8.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
96
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Dominant
10
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
9.0+285 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1977
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Bellucci M.: 18 days rest · Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
2°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 90%