Sebastian Baez vs Gustavo HeideRosario CH Round of 16

Rosario CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
clay
#136ATP
1695ELO
1679Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$609kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Baez S.
7-6 7-6
Heide G.
Baez S.
77772
Heide G.
61650

Sebastian Baez defeated Gustavo Heide 7-6 7-6 in the Rosario CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128claySebastian Baez4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Heide G.

Heide G.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Serve advantage — Heide G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Heide G.
7
Serve
43
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Dominant
86
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
63
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+39 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1679
6.5Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1695
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.4
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
7.0
2.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
72

Baez S.: 15 days rest · Heide G.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast