Carlos Alcaraz vs Hubert HurkaczRotterdam Semi-final

Rotterdam · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Hurkacz H.
Alcaraz C.
66562
Hurkacz H.
47731

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Rotterdam semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz2-6 7-6(4) 6-3
2023-08-07Canada MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz3-6 7-6(2) 7-6(3)
2022-03-21Miami MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Hurkacz H.
74
Serve
67
95
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
11.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
78
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
99
40
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Even
100
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+362 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1727
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1798
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.0
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
2°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 90%