Ugo Humbert vs Joao FonsecaDavis Cup QLS R1: BRA vs FRA Round Robin

Davis Cup QLS R1: BRA vs FRA · ATP · Round Robin
#29ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 February 2025
hard
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Humbert U.
7-5 6-3
Fonseca J.
Humbert U.
762
Fonseca J.
530

Ugo Humbert defeated Joao Fonseca 7-5 6-3 in the Davis Cup QLS R1: BRA vs FRA round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Ugo Humbert had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Ugo Humbert claimed a first win over Joao Fonseca in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ugo Humbert closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR64hardJoao Fonseca6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Fonseca J.
64
Serve
47
15
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.9
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 65). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
70
76
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Slight edge
37
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1843
Surface ELO
6.0+70 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1928
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
8.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
91

Humbert U.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fonseca J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About