Adam Walton vs Bernard TomicBrisbane 1 CH Quarter-final

Brisbane 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#79ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 January 2025
hard
#206ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
Walton A.
6-4 7-5
Tomic B.
Walton A.
672
Tomic B.
450

Adam Walton defeated Bernard Tomic 6-4 7-5 in the Brisbane 1 CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Adam Walton came in ranked #79.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Walton A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Tomic B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Walton A.Tomic B.
35
Serve
27
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.7
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
53
Break points saved·Even
95
92
Break points won·Clear edge
20
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
74
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
70
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+228 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1441
7.0Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1475
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.0
Surface form
3.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
9.4
7.0
3-set count
2.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
54
84

Walton A.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 122 games (7d) · Tomic B.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast