Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Ella SeidelLinz Qualifying Round 2

Linz · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#143WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 January 2025
hard
#99WTA
1616ELO
1614Hard ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Sasnovich A.
7-5 4-6 6-4
Seidel E.
Sasnovich A.
7462
Seidel E.
5641

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Ella Seidel 7-5 4-6 6-4 in the Linz qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ella Seidel came in ranked #99.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Seidel E.

Seidel E.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sasnovich A.Seidel E.
37
Serve
20
35
Return
9

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
52
Break points saved·Even
79
77
Break points won·Clear edge
93
70
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+84 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1614
6.2Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1616
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
2.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Sasnovich A.: 18 days rest · Seidel E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast