Justina Mikulskyte vs Mia Ristic — W50 Porto Round of 32

W50 Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
LTU
Justina Mikulskyte
#242WTA
1357ELO
1315Hard ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 January 2025
hard
SRB
Mia Ristic
#266WTA
1504ELO
1366Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLLLW
Mikulskyte J.
3-6 6-3 6-3
Ristic M.
Mikulskyte J.
3662
Ristic M.
6331

Justina Mikulskyte defeated Mia Ristic 3-6 6-3 6-3 in the W50 Porto round of 32 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mikulskyte J.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Ristic M.

Ristic M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Mikulskyte J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Mikulskyte J.Ristic M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
0.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mikulskyte J.Ristic M.
Clutch Rating·Even
20
19
Break points saved·Slight edge
25
35
Break points won·Dominant
81
54
Deciding sets·Slight edge
35
45
Tiebreaks·
—
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mikulskyte J.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Ristic M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1315
Surface ELO
5.7+50 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1357
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1504
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mikulskyte J.Ristic M.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Mikulskyte J.: 20 days rest · Ristic M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Mikulskyte J.
Grant T.
6-726-36-2
Semi-finals
Mikulskyte J.
Mcadoo R.
1-66-26-1
Grant T.
Friedsam A.
1-66-36-4
Quarter-finals
Mikulskyte J.
Jamrichova R.
6-26-2
Mcadoo R.
Jorge M.
2-66-16-2
Grant T.
Gao X.
6-26-2
Friedsam A.
Paoletti M.
1-66-26-0
R16
Grant T.
Noha Akugue N.
6-31-66-3
Jamrichova R.
Serban R.
6-16-0
Paoletti M.
Arseneault A.
6-16-3
Friedsam A.
Ciric Bagaric L.
6-46-3
Mcadoo R.
Cervino Ruiz C.
6-26-3
Gao X.
Freitas A.
6-06-1
Mikulskyte J.
Boskovic L.
5-2
Jorge M.
Konjuh A.
6-42-67-5
R32
Mcadoo R.
Bolkvadze M.
6-42-0
Grant T.
Laskevich E.
6-26-1
Jamrichova R.
Laundes F.
6-16-2
Gao X.
Maleckova J.
6-16-4
Serban R.
Chong E.
6-40-76-0
Konjuh A.
Valentova T.
6-46-1
Boskovic L.
Hanatani N.
6-26-0
Arseneault A.
Janicijevic S.
6-36-3
Friedsam A.
Jorge F.
6-36-1
Freitas A.
Couto L.
6-23-66-4
Ciric Bagaric L.
Inoue H.
6-45-76-1
Paoletti M.
Schoppe E.
3-66-37-64
Jorge M.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-21-66-4
Noha Akugue N.
Cortez Llorca L.
4-0
Mikulskyte J.
Ristic M.
3-66-36-3
Cervino Ruiz C.
Oliynykova O.
2-66-37-66