Hanna Chang vs Emiliana ArangoW75 Rome GA Quarter-final

W75 Rome GA · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#325WTA
1354ELO
1314Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 January 2025
hard
#96WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Chang H.
3-6 6-2 6-4
Arango E.
Chang H.
3662
Arango E.
6241

Hanna Chang defeated Emiliana Arango 3-6 6-2 6-4 in the W75 Rome GA quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #96.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Chang H.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Chang H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Chang H.Arango E.
Serve
0
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
53%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
57
Break points saved·Dominant
15
56
Break points won·Clear edge
67
81
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
70
Tiebreaks·
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1314
Surface ELO
8.1+262 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1354
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
2.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Arango E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About