Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Mackenzie McdonaldQuimper CH Round of 16

Quimper CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#269ATP
1413ELO
1393Hard ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 January 2025
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
6-3 7-6
Mcdonald M.
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
6772
Mcdonald M.
3620

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 7-6 in the Quimper CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #140.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gueymard Wayenburg S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Gueymard Wayenburg S.

Serve advantage — Mcdonald M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gueymard Wayenburg S.Mcdonald M.
Serve
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
10
56
Break points saved·Dominant
63
96
Break points won·Dominant
20
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
45
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
27
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1393
Surface ELO
7.7+211 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1413
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1606
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
1.9
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
92

Gueymard Wayenburg S.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast