Jasmine Paolini vs Renata Zarazua — Australian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 64
Jasmine Paolini
ITA4
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Renata Zarazua
MEX
Renata Zarazua
#75WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLL
Paolini J.
6-2 6-3
Zarazua R.
Paolini J.
662
Zarazua R.
230

Jasmine Paolini defeated Renata Zarazua 6-2 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Zarazua R.
31
Serve
22
55
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Zarazua R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Zarazua R.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
51
Break points saved·Dominant
87
57
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Zarazua R.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+234 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1639
7.9Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1663
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.4
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Zarazua R.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
98

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw

Final
Keys M.[19]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-32-67-5
Semi-finals
Keys M.[19]
Swiatek I.[2]
5-76-17-68
Sabalenka A.[1]
Badosa P.[11]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Keys M.[19]
Svitolina E.[28]
3-66-36-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Navarro E.[8]
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-22-66-3
Badosa P.[11]
Gauff C.[3]
7-56-4
R16
Gauff C.[3]
Bencic B.
5-76-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Rybakina E.[6]
6-31-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Lys E.
6-06-1
Navarro E.[8]
Kasatkina D.[9]
6-45-77-5
Badosa P.[11]
Danilovic O.
6-17-62
Svitolina E.[28]
Kudermetova V.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva M.[14]
6-16-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Vekic D.[18]
7-606-0
R32
Bencic B.
Osaka N.
7-630-0
Badosa P.[11]
Kostyuk M.[17]
6-44-66-3
Danilovic O.
Pegula J.[7]
7-636-1
Kasatkina D.[9]
Putintseva Y.[24]
7-56-1
Gauff C.[3]
Fernandez L.[30]
6-46-2
Lys E.
Cristian J.
4-66-36-3
Keys M.[19]
Collins D.[10]
6-46-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Siegemund L.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Tauson C.
7-656-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Raducanu E.
6-16-0
Vekic D.[18]
Shnaider D.[12]
7-646-737-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Frech M.[23]
6-21-66-2
Navarro E.[8]
Jabeur O.
6-43-66-4
Rybakina E.[6]
Yastremska D.[32]
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[28]
Paolini J.[4]
2-66-46-0
Kudermetova V.
Haddad Maia B.[15]
6-46-2
R64
Danilovic O.
Samsonova L.[25]
6-16-2
Tauson C.
Maria T.
6-26-2
Raducanu E.
Anisimova A.
6-37-5
Collins D.[10]
Aiava D.
7-644-66-2
Jabeur O.
Osorio C.
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Jovic I.
6-06-3
Lys E.
Gracheva V.
6-23-66-4
Keys M.[19]
Ruse E.
7-612-67-5
Pegula J.[7]
Mertens E.
6-46-2
Osaka N.
Muchova K.[20]
1-66-16-3
Navarro E.[8]
Wang X.
6-33-66-4
Kudermetova V.
Boulter K.[22]
7-632-66-2
Paolini J.[4]
Zarazua R.
6-26-3
Cristian J.
Bronzetti L.
7-57-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Uchijima M.
6-43-67-68
Svitolina E.[28]
Dolehide C.
6-16-4
Shnaider D.[12]
Tomljanovic A.
6-47-5
Gauff C.[3]
Burrage J.
6-37-5
Badosa P.[11]
Gibson T.
6-16-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Sramkova R.
6-06-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Potapova A.
7-622-66-2
Putintseva Y.[24]
Zhang S.
6-26-1
Frech M.[23]
Blinkova A.
0-66-06-2
Siegemund L.
Zheng Q.[5]
7-636-3
Kasatkina D.[9]
Wang Y.
6-26-0
Vekic D.[18]
Dart H.
4-66-06-2
Bencic B.
Lamens S.
6-17-63
Haddad Maia B.[15]
Andreeva E.
6-26-3
Kostyuk M.[17]
Niemeier J.
6-36-0
Yastremska D.[32]
Kovinic D.
6-06-1
Fernandez L.[30]
Bucsa C.
3-66-46-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-37-5
R128
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Yuan Y.
6-44-66-3
Kasatkina D.[9]
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Jones E.
6-16-1
Raducanu E.
Alexandrova E.[26]
7-647-62
Danilovic O.
Rus A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Parry D.
6-46-4
Uchijima M.
Linette M.
4-66-27-68
Collins D.[10]
Snigur D.
7-646-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Tomljanovic A.
Krueger A.
6-44-66-4
Muchova K.[20]
Podoroska N.
6-16-1
Burrage J.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Mertens E.
Golubic V.
4-67-686-4
Kostyuk M.[17]
Hibino N.
3-66-36-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Sramkova R.
Volynets K.
3-66-26-2
Gracheva V.
Mcnally C.
6-36-4
Frech M.[23]
Kudermetova P.
6-46-4
Samsonova L.[25]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Pegula J.[7]
Joint M.
6-36-0
Wang Y.
Bondar A.
3-66-36-4
Osorio C.
Sakkari M.[31]
6-46-746-4
Kudermetova V.
Gadecki O.
6-16-1
Anisimova A.
Carle M.
6-26-3
Bronzetti L.
Azarenka V.[21]
6-27-62
Badosa P.[11]
Wang X.
6-37-65
Keys M.[19]
Li A.
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Paolini J.[4]
Wei S.
6-06-4
Potapova A.
Zidansek T.
6-27-5
Bencic B.
Ostapenko J.[16]
6-37-66
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Kartal S.
6-17-65
Boulter K.[22]
Marino R.
6-43-67-5
Tauson C.
Noskova L.[29]
5-76-36-4
Gibson T.
Sonmez Z.
3-67-656-1
Yastremska D.[32]
Sherif M.
6-16-4
Lys E.
Birrell K.
6-26-2
Jovic I.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-1
Aiava D.
Minnen G.
5-77-57-65
Haddad Maia B.[15]
Riera J.
4-67-56-2
Niemeier J.
Chwalinska M.
6-06-1
Lamens S.
Erjavec V.
7-57-62
Fernandez L.[30]
Starodubtseva Y.
7-56-4
Jabeur O.
Kalinina A.
6-36-3
Siegemund L.
Baptiste H.
4-67-56-4
Wang X.
Grabher J.
6-17-5
Bucsa C.
Paquet C.
6-26-3
Dart H.
Fett J.
7-52-67-67
Navarro E.[8]
Stearns P.
6-757-657-5
Gauff C.[3]
Kenin S.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Garcia C.
6-33-66-3
Maria T.
Pera B.
7-636-4
Ruse E.
Begu I.
6-46-0
Cristian J.
Martic P.
6-24-67-67
Andreeva E.
Zheng S.
6-17-66
Blinkova A.
Saville D.
1-66-47-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-3
Shnaider D.[12]
Cocciaretto E.
7-646-4
Zheng Q.[5]
Todoni A.
7-636-1
Zhang S.
Kessler M.
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.[24]
Avanesyan E.
4-67-56-2
Zarazua R.
Townsend T.
6-766-16-2
Svitolina E.[28]
Cirstea S.
6-46-4
Kovinic D.
Sun L.
6-37-5