Shuai Zhang vs Mccartney KesslerAustralian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 128
#64WTA
1718ELO
1695Hard ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
#57WTA
1808ELO
1785Hard ELO
$545kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Zhang S.
6-3 6-4
Kessler M.
Zhang S.
662
Kessler M.
340

Shuai Zhang defeated Mccartney Kessler 6-3 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mccartney Kessler came in ranked #57, defending last year's round of 64. Shuai Zhang extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Shuai Zhang closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-25BeijingR128hardShuai Zhang7-6(5) 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Zhang S.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kessler M.

Kessler M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zhang S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zhang S.Kessler M.
17
Serve
27
58
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
84
Break points saved·Dominant
55
91
Break points won·Clear edge
83
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
59

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1695
Surface ELO
6.3+90 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1808
10.0
H2H
0.0
2.9
Surface form
7.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.5
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
96

Zhang S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kessler M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw

R128
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Yuan Y.
6-44-66-3
Kasatkina D.[9]
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Jones E.
6-16-1
Raducanu E.
Alexandrova E.[26]
7-647-62
Danilovic O.
Rus A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Parry D.
6-46-4
Uchijima M.
Linette M.
4-66-27-68
Collins D.[10]
Snigur D.
7-646-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Tomljanovic A.
Krueger A.
6-44-66-4
Muchova K.[20]
Podoroska N.
6-16-1
Burrage J.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Mertens E.
Golubic V.
4-67-686-4
Kostyuk M.[17]
Hibino N.
3-66-36-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Sramkova R.
Volynets K.
3-66-26-2
Gracheva V.
Mcnally C.
6-36-4
Frech M.[23]
Kudermetova P.
6-46-4
Samsonova L.[25]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Pegula J.[7]
Joint M.
6-36-0
Wang Y.
Bondar A.
3-66-36-4
Osorio C.
Sakkari M.[31]
6-46-746-4
Kudermetova V.
Gadecki O.
6-16-1
Anisimova A.
Carle M.
6-26-3
Bronzetti L.
Azarenka V.[21]
6-27-62
Badosa P.[11]
Wang X.
6-37-65
Keys M.[19]
Li A.
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Paolini J.[4]
Wei S.
6-06-4
Potapova A.
Zidansek T.
6-27-5
Bencic B.
Ostapenko J.[16]
6-37-66
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Kartal S.
6-17-65
Boulter K.[22]
Marino R.
6-43-67-5
Tauson C.
Noskova L.[29]
5-76-36-4
Gibson T.
Sonmez Z.
3-67-656-1
Yastremska D.[32]
Sherif M.
6-16-4
Lys E.
Birrell K.
6-26-2
Jovic I.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-1
Aiava D.
Minnen G.
5-77-57-65
Haddad Maia B.[15]
Riera J.
4-67-56-2
Niemeier J.
Chwalinska M.
6-06-1
Lamens S.
Erjavec V.
7-57-62
Fernandez L.[30]
Starodubtseva Y.
7-56-4
Jabeur O.
Kalinina A.
6-36-3
Siegemund L.
Baptiste H.
4-67-56-4
Wang X.
Grabher J.
6-17-5
Bucsa C.
Paquet C.
6-26-3
Dart H.
Fett J.
7-52-67-67
Navarro E.[8]
Stearns P.
6-757-657-5
Gauff C.[3]
Kenin S.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Garcia C.
6-33-66-3
Maria T.
Pera B.
7-636-4
Ruse E.
Begu I.
6-46-0
Cristian J.
Martic P.
6-24-67-67
Andreeva E.
Zheng S.
6-17-66
Blinkova A.
Saville D.
1-66-47-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-3
Shnaider D.[12]
Cocciaretto E.
7-646-4
Zheng Q.[5]
Todoni A.
7-636-1
Zhang S.
Kessler M.
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.[24]
Avanesyan E.
4-67-56-2
Zarazua R.
Townsend T.
6-766-16-2
Svitolina E.[28]
Cirstea S.
6-46-4
Kovinic D.
Sun L.
6-37-5