Lorenzo Sonego vs Joao FonsecaAustralian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 64
#69ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Sonego L.
6-7 6-3 6-1 3-6 6-3
Fonseca J.
Sonego L.
6666363
Fonseca J.
7831632

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Joao Fonseca 6-7 6-3 6-1 3-6 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Lorenzo Sonego claimed a first win over Joao Fonseca in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-15BucharestR32clayJoao Fonseca7-6(5) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sonego L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sonego L.Fonseca J.
41
Serve
47
38
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
63%
Aces / match·Even
6.2
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
69
76
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Even
45
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
71
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1702
Surface ELO
7.5+212 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1928
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
10.0
Win streak
10.013-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
6.6
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
88

Sonego L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
R128
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Habib H.
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6-746-46-16-3
Bonzi B.
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6-16-27-67
Fonseca J.
Rublev A.[9]
7-616-37-65
Djokovic N.[7]
Basavareddy N.
4-66-36-46-2
Cazaux A.
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Sinner J.[1]
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7-627-656-1
Boyer T.
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Gaston H.
Jasika O.
6-23-66-26-2
Mccabe J.
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Moutet C.
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4-66-36-46-4
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Ugo Carabelli C.
4-67-636-35-76-4
Sonego L.
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6-45-77-57-5
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
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6-36-04-66-1
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Shevchenko A.
6-17-56-1
Diallo G.
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Schoolkate T.
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Tiafoe F.[17]
Rinderknech A.
7-626-34-66-746-3
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7-657-56-4