Yosuke Watanuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Australian Open Qualifying Round 1

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
Yosuke Watanuki
JPN
Yosuke Watanuki
#294ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ARG30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
#42ATP
1790ELO
1658Hard ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Watanuki Y.
6-3 7-6
Cerundolo J.
Watanuki Y.
6772
Cerundolo J.
3630

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-3 7-6 in the Australian Open qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #42.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Watanuki Y.Cerundolo J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Watanuki Y.Cerundolo J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
82
Break points won·Dominant
20
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Watanuki Y.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Cerundolo J.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
5.6+127 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1790
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Watanuki Y.Cerundolo J.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
97

Watanuki Y.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cerundolo J.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Q3
Boyer T.[26]
Eubanks C.[4]
6-46-4
Dougaz A.
Gojo B.
6-43-66-1
Tien L.[16]
Kovalik J.[21]
6-36-4
Faria J.[17]
Lajal M.
6-42-66-4
Gigante M.[32]
Rocha H.
6-47-5
Garin C.
Dellien H.[18]
6-26-3
Krueger M.
Uchiyama Y.
6-36-756-4
Habib H.
Chidekh C.
6-43-67-68
Koepfer D.[1]
Ellis B.
7-57-5
Basilashvili N.
Passaro F.[5]
6-36-3
Klein L.[28]
Atmane T.
6-46-1
Monteiro T.[6]
Coppejans K.
6-46-3
Onclin G.
Mcdonald M.[25]
6-777-656-1
Landaluce M.
Svrcina D.
2-66-17-5
Majchrzak K.[14]
Harris B.[19]
7-56-2
Fonseca J.
Tirante T.[12]
6-46-1
Q2
Mcdonald M.[25]
Holt B.
6-46-4
Majchrzak K.[14]
Svajda Z.
6-756-16-2
Dougaz A.
Hassan B.
3-67-656-4
Svrcina D.
Sultanov K.
6-31-66-3
Tien L.[16]
Ficovich J.
6-46-2
Basilashvili N.
Kachmazov A.
7-56-4
Dellien H.[18]
Kasnikowski M.
3-67-56-2
Uchiyama Y.
Vallejo A.
4-66-36-4
Eubanks C.[4]
Moro Canas A.
6-36-3
Boyer T.[26]
Barrios Vera T.
5-76-36-4
Coppejans K.
Vacherot V.[31]
6-47-63
Gigante M.[32]
Neumayer L.
6-36-4
Habib H.
Tseng C.[13]
6-47-62
Landaluce M.
Trotter J.
6-47-5
Harris B.[19]
Taberner C.
6-16-2
Ellis B.
Watanuki Y.
6-16-4
Krueger M.
Ajdukovic D.
6-46-3
Koepfer D.[1]
Quinn E.
3-67-56-1
Chidekh C.
Kym J.[27]
6-706-36-2
Tirante T.[12]
Droguet T.
6-47-64
Monteiro T.[6]
Royer V.
7-616-3
Lajal M.
Shimabukuro S.
2-67-666-4
Fonseca J.
Wong C.
6-06-3
Atmane T.
Bellucci M.[2]
7-676-4
Klein L.[28]
Spizzirri E.
6-36-4
Rocha H.
Fucsovics M.[3]
6-27-63
Onclin G.
Kovacevic A.[7]
3-67-656-1
Garin C.
Djere L.[10]
6-41-67-5
Gojo B.
Kopriva V.[24]
2-66-36-2
Passaro F.[5]
Barranco Cosano J.
4-66-37-68
Faria J.[17]
Sweeny D.
6-26-2
Kovalik J.[21]
Holmgren A.
6-736-37-5
Q1
Tirante T.[12]
Rodionov J.
7-654-66-4
Klein L.[28]
Galarneau A.
6-43-67-5
Kachmazov A.
Mochizuki S.[22]
6-37-61
Vallejo A.
Andreev A.
6-46-4
Fucsovics M.[3]
Roca Batalla O.
6-46-4
Neumayer L.
Moller E.
6-756-36-4
Krueger M.
Jianu F.
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Escoffier A.
6-26-1
Tien L.[16]
Barrere G.
4-67-646-1
Spizzirri E.
Blockx A.
3-66-17-5
Kovacevic A.[7]
Collarini A.
7-656-4
Shimabukuro S.
Albot R.
6-26-3
Koepfer D.[1]
Buse I.
2-66-37-65
Ficovich J.
Jubb P.
6-46-4
Boyer T.[26]
Sakamoto R.
6-06-2
Holt B.
Mager G.
7-666-2
Gigante M.[32]
Hardt N.
6-26-2
Passaro F.[5]
Zeppieri G.
6-37-63
Rocha H.
Squire H.
6-36-3
Monteiro T.[6]
Kubler J.
7-647-64
Landaluce M.
Collignon R.[15]
6-36-3
Barranco Cosano J.
Mena F.
6-46-2
Svajda Z.
Couacaud E.
6-36-2
Vacherot V.[31]
Huesler M.
6-36-4
Tseng C.[13]
Arnaboldi F.
6-26-4
Harris B.[19]
Shimizu Y.
6-746-46-4
Faria J.[17]
Brouwer G.
6-46-3
Gojo B.
Skatov T.
6-36-4
Atmane T.
Dellavedova M.
4-66-36-3
Sweeny D.
Herbert P.
7-646-2
Trotter J.
Evans D.
6-43-66-3
Habib H.
Kypson P.
6-47-66
Lajal M.
Kukushkin M.[9]
6-06-2
Svrcina D.
Blanchet U.
3-66-26-3
Taberner C.
Winter E.
6-47-5
Onclin G.
Burruchaga R.
1-66-07-67
Sultanov K.
Galan D.[20]
6-36-727-5
Ajdukovic D.
Gasquet R.[23]
7-646-3
Quinn E.
Hemery C.
6-47-5
Bellucci M.[2]
Marinkov P.
6-36-3
Watanuki Y.
Cerundolo J.[30]
6-37-63
Djere L.[10]
Heide G.
6-36-1
Droguet T.
Choinski J.
6-47-5
Mcdonald M.[25]
Bolt A.
6-26-2
Holmgren A.
Jones H.
7-684-67-68
Moro Canas A.
Varillas J.
6-737-666-4
Dellien H.[18]
Marterer M.
6-36-3
Eubanks C.[4]
Grenier H.
7-617-5
Dougaz A.
De Jong J.[8]
6-756-17-65
Kopriva V.[24]
Lestienne C.
6-34-1
Chidekh C.
Meligeni Alves F.
4-66-10-0
Kym J.[27]
Van Rijthoven T.
6-06-3
Kovalik J.[21]
Tomic B.
6-36-1
Hassan B.
Mejia N.
6-45-76-4
Kasnikowski M.
Gaubas V.
6-777-626-2
Barrios Vera T.
Nava E.
7-607-63
Fonseca J.
Gomez F.[29]
6-46-0
Uchiyama Y.
Mayot H.[11]
6-47-65
Garin C.
Dellien Velasco M.
6-36-1
Basilashvili N.
Hewitt C.
6-16-4
Royer V.
Polmans M.
6-36-0
Wong C.
Popko D.
7-53-67-5
Majchrzak K.[14]
Trungelliti M.
3-67-646-3
Coppejans K.
Martineau M.
2-67-656-1