Alexis Galarneau vs Ignacio BuseOeiras 2 CH Round of 32

Oeiras 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#158ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
$166kYTD
$825kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
#33ATP
1822ELO
1662Hard ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Galarneau A.
6-3 6-4
Buse I.
Galarneau A.
662
Buse I.
340

Alexis Galarneau defeated Ignacio Buse 6-3 6-4 in the Oeiras 2 CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #33.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Galarneau A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Galarneau A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
87
Break points won·Clear edge
16
28
Deciding sets·Dominant
22
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1548
Surface ELO
5.7+113 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1593
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
98

Galarneau A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Buse I.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast