Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Alex Bolt — Australian Open Qualifying Round 1

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
Mackenzie Mcdonald
USA25
Mackenzie Mcdonald
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Alex Bolt
AUS
Alex Bolt
#152ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Mcdonald M.
6-2 6-2
Bolt A.
Mcdonald M.
662
Bolt A.
220

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Alex Bolt 6-2 6-2 in the Australian Open qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145, defending last year's round of 128. Mackenzie Mcdonald extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-01Murray River OpenR32hardAlex Bolt6-4 6-7(7) 7-5
2018-06-11s HertogenboschR16grassMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Bolt A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Bolt A.
25
Serve
—
10
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mcdonald M.Bolt A.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
7.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mcdonald M.Bolt A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
44
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Dominant
66
7
Deciding sets·Even
45
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mcdonald M.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Bolt A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+63 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1541
5.4Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1588
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mcdonald M.Bolt A.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
100

Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Bolt A.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Q3
Boyer T.[26]
Eubanks C.[4]
6-46-4
Dougaz A.
Gojo B.
6-43-66-1
Tien L.[16]
Kovalik J.[21]
6-36-4
Faria J.[17]
Lajal M.
6-42-66-4
Gigante M.[32]
Rocha H.
6-47-5
Garin C.
Dellien H.[18]
6-26-3
Krueger M.
Uchiyama Y.
6-36-756-4
Habib H.
Chidekh C.
6-43-67-68
Koepfer D.[1]
Ellis B.
7-57-5
Basilashvili N.
Passaro F.[5]
6-36-3
Klein L.[28]
Atmane T.
6-46-1
Monteiro T.[6]
Coppejans K.
6-46-3
Onclin G.
Mcdonald M.[25]
6-777-656-1
Landaluce M.
Svrcina D.
2-66-17-5
Majchrzak K.[14]
Harris B.[19]
7-56-2
Fonseca J.
Tirante T.[12]
6-46-1
Q2
Mcdonald M.[25]
Holt B.
6-46-4
Majchrzak K.[14]
Svajda Z.
6-756-16-2
Dougaz A.
Hassan B.
3-67-656-4
Svrcina D.
Sultanov K.
6-31-66-3
Tien L.[16]
Ficovich J.
6-46-2
Basilashvili N.
Kachmazov A.
7-56-4
Dellien H.[18]
Kasnikowski M.
3-67-56-2
Uchiyama Y.
Vallejo A.
4-66-36-4
Eubanks C.[4]
Moro Canas A.
6-36-3
Boyer T.[26]
Barrios Vera T.
5-76-36-4
Coppejans K.
Vacherot V.[31]
6-47-63
Gigante M.[32]
Neumayer L.
6-36-4
Habib H.
Tseng C.[13]
6-47-62
Landaluce M.
Trotter J.
6-47-5
Harris B.[19]
Taberner C.
6-16-2
Ellis B.
Watanuki Y.
6-16-4
Krueger M.
Ajdukovic D.
6-46-3
Koepfer D.[1]
Quinn E.
3-67-56-1
Chidekh C.
Kym J.[27]
6-706-36-2
Tirante T.[12]
Droguet T.
6-47-64
Monteiro T.[6]
Royer V.
7-616-3
Lajal M.
Shimabukuro S.
2-67-666-4
Fonseca J.
Wong C.
6-06-3
Atmane T.
Bellucci M.[2]
7-676-4
Klein L.[28]
Spizzirri E.
6-36-4
Rocha H.
Fucsovics M.[3]
6-27-63
Onclin G.
Kovacevic A.[7]
3-67-656-1
Garin C.
Djere L.[10]
6-41-67-5
Gojo B.
Kopriva V.[24]
2-66-36-2
Passaro F.[5]
Barranco Cosano J.
4-66-37-68
Faria J.[17]
Sweeny D.
6-26-2
Kovalik J.[21]
Holmgren A.
6-736-37-5
Q1
Tirante T.[12]
Rodionov J.
7-654-66-4
Klein L.[28]
Galarneau A.
6-43-67-5
Kachmazov A.
Mochizuki S.[22]
6-37-61
Vallejo A.
Andreev A.
6-46-4
Fucsovics M.[3]
Roca Batalla O.
6-46-4
Neumayer L.
Moller E.
6-756-36-4
Krueger M.
Jianu F.
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Escoffier A.
6-26-1
Tien L.[16]
Barrere G.
4-67-646-1
Spizzirri E.
Blockx A.
3-66-17-5
Kovacevic A.[7]
Collarini A.
7-656-4
Shimabukuro S.
Albot R.
6-26-3
Koepfer D.[1]
Buse I.
2-66-37-65
Ficovich J.
Jubb P.
6-46-4
Boyer T.[26]
Sakamoto R.
6-06-2
Holt B.
Mager G.
7-666-2
Gigante M.[32]
Hardt N.
6-26-2
Passaro F.[5]
Zeppieri G.
6-37-63
Rocha H.
Squire H.
6-36-3
Monteiro T.[6]
Kubler J.
7-647-64
Landaluce M.
Collignon R.[15]
6-36-3
Barranco Cosano J.
Mena F.
6-46-2
Svajda Z.
Couacaud E.
6-36-2
Vacherot V.[31]
Huesler M.
6-36-4
Tseng C.[13]
Arnaboldi F.
6-26-4
Harris B.[19]
Shimizu Y.
6-746-46-4
Faria J.[17]
Brouwer G.
6-46-3
Gojo B.
Skatov T.
6-36-4
Atmane T.
Dellavedova M.
4-66-36-3
Sweeny D.
Herbert P.
7-646-2
Trotter J.
Evans D.
6-43-66-3
Habib H.
Kypson P.
6-47-66
Lajal M.
Kukushkin M.[9]
6-06-2
Svrcina D.
Blanchet U.
3-66-26-3
Taberner C.
Winter E.
6-47-5
Onclin G.
Burruchaga R.
1-66-07-67
Sultanov K.
Galan D.[20]
6-36-727-5
Ajdukovic D.
Gasquet R.[23]
7-646-3
Quinn E.
Hemery C.
6-47-5
Bellucci M.[2]
Marinkov P.
6-36-3
Watanuki Y.
Cerundolo J.[30]
6-37-63
Djere L.[10]
Heide G.
6-36-1
Droguet T.
Choinski J.
6-47-5
Mcdonald M.[25]
Bolt A.
6-26-2
Holmgren A.
Jones H.
7-684-67-68
Moro Canas A.
Varillas J.
6-737-666-4
Dellien H.[18]
Marterer M.
6-36-3
Eubanks C.[4]
Grenier H.
7-617-5
Dougaz A.
De Jong J.[8]
6-756-17-65
Kopriva V.[24]
Lestienne C.
6-34-1
Chidekh C.
Meligeni Alves F.
4-66-10-0
Kym J.[27]
Van Rijthoven T.
6-06-3
Kovalik J.[21]
Tomic B.
6-36-1
Hassan B.
Mejia N.
6-45-76-4
Kasnikowski M.
Gaubas V.
6-777-626-2
Barrios Vera T.
Nava E.
7-607-63
Fonseca J.
Gomez F.[29]
6-46-0
Uchiyama Y.
Mayot H.[11]
6-47-65
Garin C.
Dellien Velasco M.
6-36-1
Basilashvili N.
Hewitt C.
6-16-4
Royer V.
Polmans M.
6-36-0
Wong C.
Popko D.
7-53-67-5
Majchrzak K.[14]
Trungelliti M.
3-67-646-3
Coppejans K.
Martineau M.
2-67-656-1