Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Solana Sierra — Australian Open Qualifying Round 1

Australian Open · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
CRO
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
#409WTA
1257ELO
1208Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Solana Sierra
ARG
Solana Sierra
#56WTA
1783ELO
1657Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Ciric Bagaric L.
6-2 7-5
Sierra S.
Ciric Bagaric L.
672
Sierra S.
25–

Lucija Ciric Bagaric defeated Solana Sierra 6-2 7-5 in the Australian Open qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Solana Sierra came in ranked #56.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ciric Bagaric L.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Sierra S.

Sierra S.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Ciric Bagaric L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ciric Bagaric L.Sierra S.
—
Serve
12
—
Return
6

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ciric Bagaric L.Sierra S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ciric Bagaric L.
2.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Sierra S.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.1Hard Elo 1208
Surface ELO
9.9+449 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1257
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1783
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ciric Bagaric L.Sierra S.
Freshness·
—
90

Sierra S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q3
Aiava D.
Lys E.
6-12-66-4
Zidansek T.
Monnet C.
6-35-76-3
Wei S.
Stojanovic N.
4-66-47-69
Fett J.
Ciric Bagaric L.
6-37-66
Golubic V.
Vickery S.
6-26-4
Hibino N.
Dart H.
6-47-5
Chwalinska M.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-36-4
Riera J.
Inglis M.
4-66-16-2
Kudermetova P.
Micic E.
6-47-5
Snigur D.
Masarova R.
7-56-2
Bejlek S.
Teichmann J.
7-56-3
Birrell K.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-36-746-4
Todoni A.
Lepchenko V.
6-36-2
Jeanjean L.
Janicijevic S.
6-37-65
Ruse E.
Bektas E.
6-27-5
Erjavec V.
Martic P.
6-26-1
Q2
Golubic V.
Pigossi L.
6-26-2
Vickery S.
Ishii S.
7-626-4
Riera J.
Bulgaru M.
6-46-4
Snigur D.
Palicova B.
6-31-0
Bejlek S.
Zakharova A.
6-46-4
Wei S.
Korpatsch T.
6-36-3
Zidansek T.
Serban R.
6-26-2
Hibino N.
Makarova E.
6-36-746-1
Teichmann J.
Jones F.
4-67-6136-3
Birrell K.
Hon P.
6-43-66-4
Selekhmeteva O.
Sharma A.
6-32-66-4
Lys E.
Rodionova A.
7-56-4
Dart H.
Preston T.
6-776-16-2
Masarova R.
Schmiedlova A.
6-47-5
Ciric Bagaric L.
Bjorklund M.
6-24-66-4
Fett J.
Kraus S.
6-07-69
Fruhvirtova B.
Errani S.
6-06-2
Chwalinska M.
Benoit M.
6-13-66-1
Inglis M.
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-36-3
Kudermetova P.
Mladenovic K.
7-56-4
Micic E.
Astakhova D.
6-23-1
Aiava D.
Udvardy P.
6-46-1
Stojanovic N.
Montgomery R.
6-46-756-3
Todoni A.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-36-2
Lepchenko V.
Watson H.
3-66-36-1
Monnet C.
Jamrichova R.
7-626-1
Janicijevic S.
Bolkvadze M.
6-46-2
Jeanjean L.
Seidel E.
5-76-46-2
Ruse E.
Friedsam A.
3-66-36-4
Bektas E.
Timofeeva M.
7-653-67-5
Martic P.
Gao X.
3-67-656-4
Erjavec V.
Sawangkaew M.
6-26-3
Q1
Fruhvirtova B.
Bonaventure Y.
6-46-2
Palicova B.
Waltert S.
7-57-65
Snigur D.
Arango E.
3-67-56-3
Zakharova A.
Okamura K.
7-666-0
Bejlek S.
Von Deichmann K.
6-03-66-2
Romero Gormaz L.
Stefanini L.
6-33-66-4
Bektas E.
Hartono A.
6-23-66-1
Sawangkaew M.
Bassols Ribera M.
6-17-5
Riera J.
Boskovic L.
4-66-16-2
Kudermetova P.
Bandecchi S.
6-17-5
Masarova R.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-766-36-1
Teichmann J.
Shi H.
5-76-26-2
Birrell K.
Saito S.
7-646-2
Hon P.
Arconada U.
6-36-756-4
Sharma A.
Hontama M.
3-66-36-4
Selekhmeteva O.
Galfi D.
6-43-66-4
Aiava D.
Bogdan A.
6-46-2
Udvardy P.
Ercan M.
6-06-3
Rodionova A.
Falei A.
6-37-5
Monnet C.
Semenistaja D.
6-43-66-2
Bjorklund M.
Parks A.
6-26-3
Ciric Bagaric L.
Sierra S.
6-27-5
Kraus S.
Hruncakova V.
6-16-2
Fett J.
Eala A.
7-56-2
Golubic V.
Soboleva A.
6-36-3
Pigossi L.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
6-36-1
Vickery S.
Konjuh A.
7-673-66-0
Ishii S.
Ito A.
6-36-4
Dart H.
Cabrera L.
6-27-65
Preston T.
Barthel M.
6-16-2
Makarova E.
Noha Akugue N.
6-26-3
Hibino N.
Stakusic M.
7-656-1
Errani S.
Korneeva A.
2-66-36-3
Benoit M.
Miyazaki Y.
5-76-47-68
Chwalinska M.
Salkova D.
7-635-77-610
Sorribes Tormo S.
Fourlis J.
7-655-76-4
Inglis M.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-2
Bulgaru M.
Pedone G.
6-26-3
Mladenovic K.
Chirico L.
6-26-4
Micic E.
Pridankina E.
6-33-67-5
Astakhova D.
Shibahara E.
1-66-36-0
Schmiedlova A.
Smith T.
6-26-2
Jones F.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-56-4
Lys E.
Vandewinkel H.
6-46-3
Montgomery R.
Hercog P.
6-26-1
Stojanovic N.
Naef C.
6-46-3
Korpatsch T.
Brancaccio N.
6-23-66-4
Wei S.
Sasnovich A.
7-54-66-3
Todoni A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-14-66-4
Watson H.
Radivojevic L.
7-56-7146-2
Lepchenko V.
Chang H.
6-16-3
Jamrichova R.
Leonard M.
6-37-5
Zidansek T.
Tararudee L.
6-04-66-4
Serban R.
Ponchet J.
7-656-0
Janicijevic S.
Zhu L.
6-31-66-2
Bolkvadze M.
Ruzic A.
3-66-36-3
Jeanjean L.
Glushko L.
1-66-26-1
Seidel E.
Liu C.
7-56-2
Ruse E.
Kung L.
6-16-1
Friedsam A.
Bolsova A.
6-46-1
Timofeeva M.
Tubello A.
6-44-67-5
Martic P.
Hule P.
6-27-66
Gao X.
Koevermans A.
6-06-0
Erjavec V.
Subasic A.
6-26-3