Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alejandro Tabilo — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
Roberto Carballes Baena
ESP
Roberto Carballes Baena
#163ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI23
Alejandro Tabilo
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Carballes Baena R.
1-6 6-2 6-3 7-6
Tabilo A.
Carballes Baena R.
166773
Tabilo A.
623611

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Alejandro Tabilo 1-6 6-2 6-3 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #33, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Serve advantage — Tabilo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carballes Baena R.Tabilo A.
—
Serve
51
—
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carballes Baena R.Tabilo A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
5.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carballes Baena R.Tabilo A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
74
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Even
58
59
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
51
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carballes Baena R.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Tabilo A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
7.2+158 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1819
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
6.9
0.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carballes Baena R.Tabilo A.
Freshness·Even
100
96

Carballes Baena R.: 17 days rest · Tabilo A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[2]
6-37-646-3
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[2]
Djokovic N.[7]
7-650-0
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[21]
7-626-26-2
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
De Minaur A.[8]
6-36-26-1
Shelton B.[21]
Sonego L.
6-47-54-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Alcaraz C.[3]
4-66-46-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Paul T.[12]
7-617-602-66-1
R16
Shelton B.[21]
Monfils G.
7-636-737-621-0
Alcaraz C.[3]
Draper J.[15]
7-56-10-0
Sonego L.
Tien L.
6-36-23-66-1
Zverev A.[2]
Humbert U.[14]
6-12-66-36-2
Sinner J.[1]
Rune H.[13]
6-33-66-36-2
Paul T.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-16-1
De Minaur A.[8]
Michelsen A.
6-07-656-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Lehecka J.[24]
6-36-47-64
R32
Humbert U.[14]
Fils A.[20]
4-67-56-41-0
Paul T.[12]
Carballes Baena R.
7-606-26-0
Lehecka J.[24]
Bonzi B.
6-26-36-3
Michelsen A.
Khachanov K.[19]
6-37-656-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Mensik J.
3-64-67-676-46-2
Draper J.[15]
Vukic A.
6-42-65-77-657-68
Shelton B.[21]
Musetti L.[16]
6-33-66-47-65
Sinner J.[1]
Giron M.
6-36-46-2
Monfils G.
Fritz T.[4]
3-67-57-616-4
Tien L.
Moutet C.
7-6106-36-3
Rune H.[13]
Kecmanovic M.
6-756-34-66-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Cerundolo F.[31]
5-77-636-36-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Machac T.[26]
6-16-46-4
Zverev A.[2]
Fearnley J.
6-36-46-4
Sonego L.
Marozsan F.
6-737-666-16-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
Borges N.
6-26-46-736-2
R64
Carballes Baena R.
Duckworth J.
6-46-27-5
Lehecka J.[24]
Gaston H.
6-33-1
Cerundolo F.[31]
Diaz Acosta F.
6-21-0
Bonzi B.
Passaro F.
6-26-43-66-4
Rune H.[13]
Berrettini M.
7-632-66-37-66
De Minaur A.[8]
Boyer T.
6-26-46-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Diallo G.
7-644-66-36-3
Fritz T.[4]
Garin C.
6-26-16-0
Moutet C.
Krueger M.
4-66-47-636-4
Fils A.[20]
Halys Q.
6-24-67-627-5
Tien L.
Medvedev D.[5]
6-37-646-781-67-67
Zverev A.[2]
Martinez P.
6-16-46-1
Monfils G.
Altmaier D.
7-56-37-63
Davidovich Fokina A.
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
6-776-756-46-16-3
Marozsan F.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-736-43-66-46-1
Vukic A.
Korda S.[22]
6-43-62-66-37-5
Paul T.[12]
Nishikori K.
6-736-06-36-1
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-56-37-64
Sinner J.[1]
Schoolkate T.
4-66-46-16-3
Draper J.[15]
Kokkinakis T.
6-736-33-67-56-3
Kecmanovic M.
Hurkacz H.[18]
6-46-46-2
Humbert U.[14]
Habib H.
6-36-46-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Nishioka Y.
6-06-16-4
Borges N.
Thompson J.[27]
6-36-26-4
Machac T.[26]
Opelka R.
3-67-616-757-646-4
Sonego L.
Fonseca J.
6-766-36-13-66-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Faria J.
6-16-746-36-2
Fearnley J.
Cazaux A.
3-67-56-26-3
Shelton B.[21]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-36-746-4
Mensik J.
Ruud C.[6]
6-23-66-16-4
Musetti L.[16]
Shapovalov D.
7-637-666-2
Giron M.
Etcheverry T.
7-53-67-53-66-4
R128
Faria J.
Kotov P.
6-16-17-5
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shang J.
7-615-2
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[10]
7-52-1
Martinez P.
Darderi L.
6-34-1
Halys Q.
Walton A.
4-64-66-47-647-5
Nishioka Y.
Dougaz A.
3-66-47-636-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Mannarino A.
7-656-36-3
Altmaier D.
Comesana F.
6-23-67-644-66-4
Fils A.[20]
Virtanen O.
3-67-646-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-17-56-4
Hurkacz H.[18]
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-4
Fritz T.[4]
Brooksby J.
6-26-06-3
Lehecka J.[24]
Tu L.
6-13-66-37-61
Fearnley J.
Kyrgios N.
7-636-37-62
Shelton B.[21]
Nakashima B.
7-637-57-5
Carballes Baena R.
Tabilo A.[23]
1-66-26-37-61
Thompson J.[27]
Koepfer D.
7-636-44-66-3
Kokkinakis T.
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-37-65
Rune H.[13]
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-43-66-4
Machac T.[26]
Nagal S.
6-36-17-5
Borges N.
Muller A.
6-726-36-27-5
Giron M.
Hanfmann Y.
2-67-56-17-5
Mensik J.
Basilashvili N.
6-16-736-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Lajovic D.
7-53-66-33-66-3
Nishikori K.
Monteiro T.
4-66-747-56-26-3
Shapovalov D.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-46-47-68
Cerundolo F.[31]
Bublik A.
7-616-36-2
Michelsen A.
Tsitsipas S.[11]
7-56-32-66-4
Paul T.[12]
Oconnell C.
6-23-66-16-757-5
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-757-55-77-5
Draper J.[15]
Navone M.
4-66-33-66-36-2
Musetti L.[16]
Arnaldi M.
7-644-67-656-3
Duckworth J.
Stricker D.
6-26-46-2
Korda S.[22]
Klein L.
6-30-66-37-66
Vukic A.
Dzumhur D.
6-736-03-66-36-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Samrej K.
6-24-63-66-16-2
Zverev A.[2]
Pouille L.
6-46-46-4
Garin C.
Coric B.
7-56-16-2
Carreno Busta P.
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-3
Habib H.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-47-66
Diaz Acosta F.
Bergs Z.
6-756-41-66-36-4
Opelka R.
Onclin G.
3-67-646-36-2
Monfils G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[30]
7-676-36-766-756-4
Berrettini M.
Norrie C.
6-746-46-16-3
Bonzi B.
Goffin D.
6-16-27-67
Fonseca J.
Rublev A.[9]
7-616-37-65
Djokovic N.[7]
Basavareddy N.
4-66-36-46-2
Cazaux A.
Baez S.[28]
6-35-73-66-06-3
Sinner J.[1]
Jarry N.
7-627-656-1
Boyer T.
Coria F.
6-36-734-67-56-1
Gaston H.
Jasika O.
6-23-66-26-2
Mccabe J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-4
Moutet C.
Popyrin A.[25]
4-66-36-46-4
Tien L.
Ugo Carabelli C.
4-67-636-35-76-4
Sonego L.
Wawrinka S.
6-45-77-57-5
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
Struff J.
6-36-04-66-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-17-56-1
Diallo G.
Nardi L.
6-717-635-76-16-2
Schoolkate T.
Daniel T.
6-767-646-16-4
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-31-67-52-66-1
Tiafoe F.[17]
Rinderknech A.
7-626-34-66-746-3
Etcheverry T.
Cobolli F.[32]
6-786-37-56-1
Krueger M.
Hijikata R.
6-46-46-3
Humbert U.[14]
Gigante M.
7-657-56-4