Emma Raducanu vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 128
Emma Raducanu
GBR
Emma Raducanu
#33WTA
1834ELO
1773Hard ELO
$605kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Ekaterina Alexandrova
RUS26
Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Raducanu E.
7-6 7-6
Alexandrova E.
Raducanu E.
77772
Alexandrova E.
64620

Emma Raducanu defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-6 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128, but Emma Raducanu had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Emma Raducanu claimed a first win over Ekaterina Alexandrova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR64hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Raducanu E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Raducanu E.

Serve advantage — Alexandrova E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Raducanu E.Alexandrova E.
32
Serve
52
54
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Raducanu E.Alexandrova E.
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Raducanu E.Alexandrova E.
Clutch Rating·Even
64
65
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Raducanu E.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 61 days (−1.2)
Alexandrova E.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1773
Surface ELO
5.5+27 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1834
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
4.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
4.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Raducanu E.Alexandrova E.
Freshness·
—
88

Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw

Final
Keys M.[19]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-32-67-5
Semi-finals
Keys M.[19]
Swiatek I.[2]
5-76-17-68
Sabalenka A.[1]
Badosa P.[11]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Keys M.[19]
Svitolina E.[28]
3-66-36-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Navarro E.[8]
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-22-66-3
Badosa P.[11]
Gauff C.[3]
7-56-4
R16
Gauff C.[3]
Bencic B.
5-76-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Rybakina E.[6]
6-31-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Lys E.
6-06-1
Navarro E.[8]
Kasatkina D.[9]
6-45-77-5
Badosa P.[11]
Danilovic O.
6-17-62
Svitolina E.[28]
Kudermetova V.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva M.[14]
6-16-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Vekic D.[18]
7-606-0
R32
Bencic B.
Osaka N.
7-630-0
Badosa P.[11]
Kostyuk M.[17]
6-44-66-3
Danilovic O.
Pegula J.[7]
7-636-1
Kasatkina D.[9]
Putintseva Y.[24]
7-56-1
Gauff C.[3]
Fernandez L.[30]
6-46-2
Lys E.
Cristian J.
4-66-36-3
Keys M.[19]
Collins D.[10]
6-46-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Siegemund L.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Tauson C.
7-656-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Raducanu E.
6-16-0
Vekic D.[18]
Shnaider D.[12]
7-646-737-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Frech M.[23]
6-21-66-2
Navarro E.[8]
Jabeur O.
6-43-66-4
Rybakina E.[6]
Yastremska D.[32]
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[28]
Paolini J.[4]
2-66-46-0
Kudermetova V.
Haddad Maia B.[15]
6-46-2
R64
Danilovic O.
Samsonova L.[25]
6-16-2
Tauson C.
Maria T.
6-26-2
Raducanu E.
Anisimova A.
6-37-5
Collins D.[10]
Aiava D.
7-644-66-2
Jabeur O.
Osorio C.
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Jovic I.
6-06-3
Lys E.
Gracheva V.
6-23-66-4
Keys M.[19]
Ruse E.
7-612-67-5
Pegula J.[7]
Mertens E.
6-46-2
Osaka N.
Muchova K.[20]
1-66-16-3
Navarro E.[8]
Wang X.
6-33-66-4
Kudermetova V.
Boulter K.[22]
7-632-66-2
Paolini J.[4]
Zarazua R.
6-26-3
Cristian J.
Bronzetti L.
7-57-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Uchijima M.
6-43-67-68
Svitolina E.[28]
Dolehide C.
6-16-4
Shnaider D.[12]
Tomljanovic A.
6-47-5
Gauff C.[3]
Burrage J.
6-37-5
Badosa P.[11]
Gibson T.
6-16-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Sramkova R.
6-06-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Potapova A.
7-622-66-2
Putintseva Y.[24]
Zhang S.
6-26-1
Frech M.[23]
Blinkova A.
0-66-06-2
Siegemund L.
Zheng Q.[5]
7-636-3
Kasatkina D.[9]
Wang Y.
6-26-0
Vekic D.[18]
Dart H.
4-66-06-2
Bencic B.
Lamens S.
6-17-63
Haddad Maia B.[15]
Andreeva E.
6-26-3
Kostyuk M.[17]
Niemeier J.
6-36-0
Yastremska D.[32]
Kovinic D.
6-06-1
Fernandez L.[30]
Bucsa C.
3-66-46-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-37-5
R128
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Yuan Y.
6-44-66-3
Kasatkina D.[9]
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Jones E.
6-16-1
Raducanu E.
Alexandrova E.[26]
7-647-62
Danilovic O.
Rus A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Parry D.
6-46-4
Uchijima M.
Linette M.
4-66-27-68
Collins D.[10]
Snigur D.
7-646-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Tomljanovic A.
Krueger A.
6-44-66-4
Muchova K.[20]
Podoroska N.
6-16-1
Burrage J.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Mertens E.
Golubic V.
4-67-686-4
Kostyuk M.[17]
Hibino N.
3-66-36-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Sramkova R.
Volynets K.
3-66-26-2
Gracheva V.
Mcnally C.
6-36-4
Frech M.[23]
Kudermetova P.
6-46-4
Samsonova L.[25]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Pegula J.[7]
Joint M.
6-36-0
Wang Y.
Bondar A.
3-66-36-4
Osorio C.
Sakkari M.[31]
6-46-746-4
Kudermetova V.
Gadecki O.
6-16-1
Anisimova A.
Carle M.
6-26-3
Bronzetti L.
Azarenka V.[21]
6-27-62
Badosa P.[11]
Wang X.
6-37-65
Keys M.[19]
Li A.
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Paolini J.[4]
Wei S.
6-06-4
Potapova A.
Zidansek T.
6-27-5
Bencic B.
Ostapenko J.[16]
6-37-66
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Kartal S.
6-17-65
Boulter K.[22]
Marino R.
6-43-67-5
Tauson C.
Noskova L.[29]
5-76-36-4
Gibson T.
Sonmez Z.
3-67-656-1
Yastremska D.[32]
Sherif M.
6-16-4
Lys E.
Birrell K.
6-26-2
Jovic I.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-1
Aiava D.
Minnen G.
5-77-57-65
Haddad Maia B.[15]
Riera J.
4-67-56-2
Niemeier J.
Chwalinska M.
6-06-1
Lamens S.
Erjavec V.
7-57-62
Fernandez L.[30]
Starodubtseva Y.
7-56-4
Jabeur O.
Kalinina A.
6-36-3
Siegemund L.
Baptiste H.
4-67-56-4
Wang X.
Grabher J.
6-17-5
Bucsa C.
Paquet C.
6-26-3
Dart H.
Fett J.
7-52-67-67
Navarro E.[8]
Stearns P.
6-757-657-5
Gauff C.[3]
Kenin S.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Garcia C.
6-33-66-3
Maria T.
Pera B.
7-636-4
Ruse E.
Begu I.
6-46-0
Cristian J.
Martic P.
6-24-67-67
Andreeva E.
Zheng S.
6-17-66
Blinkova A.
Saville D.
1-66-47-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-3
Shnaider D.[12]
Cocciaretto E.
7-646-4
Zheng Q.[5]
Todoni A.
7-636-1
Zhang S.
Kessler M.
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.[24]
Avanesyan E.
4-67-56-2
Zarazua R.
Townsend T.
6-766-16-2
Svitolina E.[28]
Cirstea S.
6-46-4
Kovinic D.
Sun L.
6-37-5