Denis Shapovalov vs Roberto Bautista Agut — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Denis Shapovalov
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Roberto Bautista Agut
ESP
Roberto Bautista Agut
#183ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Shapovalov D.
3-6 6-4 6-4 7-6
Bautista Agut R.
Shapovalov D.
3667103
Bautista Agut R.
644681

Denis Shapovalov defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 3-6 6-4 6-4 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 128. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-21BaselR16hardDenis Shapovalov6-3 7-6(4)
2024-07-29WashingtonR64hardDenis Shapovalov6-1 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR16grassDenis Shapovalov6-1 6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Bautista Agut R.
25
Serve
23
70
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Shapovalov D.Bautista Agut R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shapovalov D.Bautista Agut R.
Clutch Rating·Even
85
85
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Even
71
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shapovalov D.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Bautista Agut R.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+107 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1668
5.9Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1700
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
9.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.4
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shapovalov D.Bautista Agut R.
Freshness·Even
98
97

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bautista Agut R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[2]
6-37-646-3
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[2]
Djokovic N.[7]
7-650-0
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[21]
7-626-26-2
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
De Minaur A.[8]
6-36-26-1
Shelton B.[21]
Sonego L.
6-47-54-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Alcaraz C.[3]
4-66-46-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Paul T.[12]
7-617-602-66-1
R16
Shelton B.[21]
Monfils G.
7-636-737-621-0
Alcaraz C.[3]
Draper J.[15]
7-56-10-0
Sonego L.
Tien L.
6-36-23-66-1
Zverev A.[2]
Humbert U.[14]
6-12-66-36-2
Sinner J.[1]
Rune H.[13]
6-33-66-36-2
Paul T.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-16-1
De Minaur A.[8]
Michelsen A.
6-07-656-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Lehecka J.[24]
6-36-47-64
R32
Humbert U.[14]
Fils A.[20]
4-67-56-41-0
Paul T.[12]
Carballes Baena R.
7-606-26-0
Lehecka J.[24]
Bonzi B.
6-26-36-3
Michelsen A.
Khachanov K.[19]
6-37-656-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Mensik J.
3-64-67-676-46-2
Draper J.[15]
Vukic A.
6-42-65-77-657-68
Shelton B.[21]
Musetti L.[16]
6-33-66-47-65
Sinner J.[1]
Giron M.
6-36-46-2
Monfils G.
Fritz T.[4]
3-67-57-616-4
Tien L.
Moutet C.
7-6106-36-3
Rune H.[13]
Kecmanovic M.
6-756-34-66-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Cerundolo F.[31]
5-77-636-36-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Machac T.[26]
6-16-46-4
Zverev A.[2]
Fearnley J.
6-36-46-4
Sonego L.
Marozsan F.
6-737-666-16-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
Borges N.
6-26-46-736-2
R64
Carballes Baena R.
Duckworth J.
6-46-27-5
Lehecka J.[24]
Gaston H.
6-33-1
Cerundolo F.[31]
Diaz Acosta F.
6-21-0
Bonzi B.
Passaro F.
6-26-43-66-4
Rune H.[13]
Berrettini M.
7-632-66-37-66
De Minaur A.[8]
Boyer T.
6-26-46-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Diallo G.
7-644-66-36-3
Fritz T.[4]
Garin C.
6-26-16-0
Moutet C.
Krueger M.
4-66-47-636-4
Fils A.[20]
Halys Q.
6-24-67-627-5
Tien L.
Medvedev D.[5]
6-37-646-781-67-67
Zverev A.[2]
Martinez P.
6-16-46-1
Monfils G.
Altmaier D.
7-56-37-63
Davidovich Fokina A.
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
6-776-756-46-16-3
Marozsan F.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-736-43-66-46-1
Vukic A.
Korda S.[22]
6-43-62-66-37-5
Paul T.[12]
Nishikori K.
6-736-06-36-1
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-56-37-64
Sinner J.[1]
Schoolkate T.
4-66-46-16-3
Draper J.[15]
Kokkinakis T.
6-736-33-67-56-3
Kecmanovic M.
Hurkacz H.[18]
6-46-46-2
Humbert U.[14]
Habib H.
6-36-46-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Nishioka Y.
6-06-16-4
Borges N.
Thompson J.[27]
6-36-26-4
Machac T.[26]
Opelka R.
3-67-616-757-646-4
Sonego L.
Fonseca J.
6-766-36-13-66-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Faria J.
6-16-746-36-2
Fearnley J.
Cazaux A.
3-67-56-26-3
Shelton B.[21]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-36-746-4
Mensik J.
Ruud C.[6]
6-23-66-16-4
Musetti L.[16]
Shapovalov D.
7-637-666-2
Giron M.
Etcheverry T.
7-53-67-53-66-4
R128
Faria J.
Kotov P.
6-16-17-5
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shang J.
7-615-2
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[10]
7-52-1
Martinez P.
Darderi L.
6-34-1
Halys Q.
Walton A.
4-64-66-47-647-5
Nishioka Y.
Dougaz A.
3-66-47-636-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Mannarino A.
7-656-36-3
Altmaier D.
Comesana F.
6-23-67-644-66-4
Fils A.[20]
Virtanen O.
3-67-646-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-17-56-4
Hurkacz H.[18]
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-4
Fritz T.[4]
Brooksby J.
6-26-06-3
Lehecka J.[24]
Tu L.
6-13-66-37-61
Fearnley J.
Kyrgios N.
7-636-37-62
Shelton B.[21]
Nakashima B.
7-637-57-5
Carballes Baena R.
Tabilo A.[23]
1-66-26-37-61
Thompson J.[27]
Koepfer D.
7-636-44-66-3
Kokkinakis T.
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-37-65
Rune H.[13]
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-43-66-4
Machac T.[26]
Nagal S.
6-36-17-5
Borges N.
Muller A.
6-726-36-27-5
Giron M.
Hanfmann Y.
2-67-56-17-5
Mensik J.
Basilashvili N.
6-16-736-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Lajovic D.
7-53-66-33-66-3
Nishikori K.
Monteiro T.
4-66-747-56-26-3
Shapovalov D.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-46-47-68
Cerundolo F.[31]
Bublik A.
7-616-36-2
Michelsen A.
Tsitsipas S.[11]
7-56-32-66-4
Paul T.[12]
Oconnell C.
6-23-66-16-757-5
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-757-55-77-5
Draper J.[15]
Navone M.
4-66-33-66-36-2
Musetti L.[16]
Arnaldi M.
7-644-67-656-3
Duckworth J.
Stricker D.
6-26-46-2
Korda S.[22]
Klein L.
6-30-66-37-66
Vukic A.
Dzumhur D.
6-736-03-66-36-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Samrej K.
6-24-63-66-16-2
Zverev A.[2]
Pouille L.
6-46-46-4
Garin C.
Coric B.
7-56-16-2
Carreno Busta P.
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-3
Habib H.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-47-66
Diaz Acosta F.
Bergs Z.
6-756-41-66-36-4
Opelka R.
Onclin G.
3-67-646-36-2
Monfils G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[30]
7-676-36-766-756-4
Berrettini M.
Norrie C.
6-746-46-16-3
Bonzi B.
Goffin D.
6-16-27-67
Fonseca J.
Rublev A.[9]
7-616-37-65
Djokovic N.[7]
Basavareddy N.
4-66-36-46-2
Cazaux A.
Baez S.[28]
6-35-73-66-06-3
Sinner J.[1]
Jarry N.
7-627-656-1
Boyer T.
Coria F.
6-36-734-67-56-1
Gaston H.
Jasika O.
6-23-66-26-2
Mccabe J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-4
Moutet C.
Popyrin A.[25]
4-66-36-46-4
Tien L.
Ugo Carabelli C.
4-67-636-35-76-4
Sonego L.
Wawrinka S.
6-45-77-57-5
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
Struff J.
6-36-04-66-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-17-56-1
Diallo G.
Nardi L.
6-717-635-76-16-2
Schoolkate T.
Daniel T.
6-767-646-16-4
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-31-67-52-66-1
Tiafoe F.[17]
Rinderknech A.
7-626-34-66-746-3
Etcheverry T.
Cobolli F.[32]
6-786-37-56-1
Krueger M.
Hijikata R.
6-46-46-3
Humbert U.[14]
Gigante M.
7-657-56-4