Denis Shapovalov vs Zhizhen ZhangAdelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 32
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#161ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Shapovalov D.
6-3 6-4
Zhang Z.
Shapovalov D.
662
Zhang Z.
340

Denis Shapovalov defeated Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-4 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41. Denis Shapovalov claimed a first win over Zhizhen Zhang in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR64clayZhizhen Zhang6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Zhang Z.

Zhang Z.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Zhang Z.
25
Serve
24
70
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
33%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Even
7.6
8.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
71
14
Deciding sets·Even
92
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+133 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1642
6.3Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1682
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
2.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
7.4
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
100

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zhang Z.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%