Alex Michelsen vs Lorenzo SonegoAuckland Round of 16

Auckland · ATP · Round of 16
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#83ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
Michelsen A.
7-6 6-2
Sonego L.
Michelsen A.
7762
Sonego L.
6320

Alex Michelsen defeated Lorenzo Sonego 7-6 6-2 in the Auckland round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, defending last year's round of 32. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Lorenzo Sonego in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-19Winston-SalemFhardLorenzo Sonego6-0 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Sonego L.
34
Serve
41
46
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.4
6.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
69
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Even
46
45
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+109 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1702
5.9Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1719
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
79

Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Sonego L.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 48%