Ashlyn Krueger vs Ajla TomljanovicAdelaide Qualifying Round 1

Adelaide · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#66WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Krueger A.
7-5 6-4
Tomljanovic A.
Krueger A.
762
Tomljanovic A.
54

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 7-5 6-4 in the Adelaide qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ashlyn Krueger came in ranked #66. Ashlyn Krueger claimed a first win over Ajla Tomljanovic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR128hardAjla Tomljanovic6-4 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger A.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Krueger A.Tomljanovic A.
37
Serve
26
7
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.4
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
79
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
73
Break points won·Slight edge
85
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
66
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 54 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.5+1 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.5Hard Elo 1723
4.6Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
98

Krueger A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Tomljanovic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast